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Mar 31, 2024
AGNC Q1 2024 Earnings Report
AGNC reported a comprehensive income of $0.48 per common share, driven by net income and offset by other comprehensive loss, with a tangible net book value of $8.84 per common share and an economic return on tangible common equity of 5.7%.
Key Takeaways
AGNC Investment Corp. announced financial results for the quarter ended March 31, 2024, reporting a comprehensive income of $0.48 per common share and a tangible net book value of $8.84 per common share. The company's economic return on tangible common equity for the quarter was 5.7%.
Comprehensive income per common share was $0.48, including $0.59 net income and $(0.11) other comprehensive loss.
Net spread and dollar roll income per common share was $0.58, excluding $0.01 per share of estimated 'catch-up' premium amortization benefit.
Tangible net book value per common share increased to $8.84, a 1.6% increase from the previous quarter.
Economic return on tangible common equity was 5.7% for the quarter, driven by dividends and an increase in tangible net book value.
Forward Guidance
While the first quarter unfolded positively, challenges remain with increased interest rates and volatility in April due to uncertain rate cuts and geopolitical tensions. However, the underlying fundamentals for Agency MBS continue to provide optimism, and AGNC is well-positioned to benefit from favorable investment dynamics.
Positive Outlook
- Favorable macroeconomic environment for fixed income investors persisted from late 2023 into Q1 2024.
- Interest rate volatility declined meaningfully in Q1 2024.
- Agency MBS spreads remained relatively stable in Q1 2024.
- The Federal Reserve indicated that short term rates had likely reached their peak.
- The Federal Reserve signaled a reduction in the pace of its balance sheet runoff.
Challenges Ahead
- Interest rates and interest rate volatility increased meaningfully in April.
- The timing and magnitude of rate cuts in 2024 became increasingly uncertain.
- Conflict in the Middle East escalated, adding to market volatility.
Historical Earnings Impact
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Avg. Return Before/After Earnings
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