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Dec 31, 2023

AGNC Q4 2023 Earnings Report

AGNC reported a strong economic return driven by active portfolio management and stable net spread and dollar roll income.

Key Takeaways

AGNC Investment Corp. announced financial results for the quarter ended December 31, 2023, reporting comprehensive income of $1.00 per common share and a 12.1% economic return on tangible common equity. The company's tangible net book value per common share increased by 7.7% to $8.70, and net spread and dollar roll income remained strong at $0.60 per common share.

Comprehensive income was $1.00 per common share, including $0.57 net income and $0.43 OCI.

Net spread and dollar roll income was $0.60 per common share, including $0.01 from dollar roll income and excluding $0.05 of estimated 'catch-up' premium amortization benefit.

Tangible net book value per common share increased to $8.70, a 7.7% increase from the previous quarter.

The economic return on tangible common equity was 12.1% for the quarter.

Total Revenue
-$26M
Previous year: $25M
-204.0%
EPS
$0.6
Previous year: $0.74
-18.9%
Economic Return on Equity
12.1%
Previous year: 12.3%
-1.6%
Net Interest Spread
3.08%
Previous year: 2.74%
+12.4%
At Risk Leverage Ratio
7
Cash and Equivalents
$518M
Previous year: $1.02B
-49.1%
Total Assets
$71.6B
Previous year: $51.7B
+38.4%

AGNC

AGNC

Forward Guidance

AGNC believes that the factors that drove adverse conditions in the past two years are largely behind them. Attractive Agency MBS spreads combined with declining interest rate volatility create a compelling investment environment.

Positive Outlook

  • Historically attractive Agency MBS spreads.
  • Declining interest rate volatility.
  • Active portfolio management strategy.
  • Strong net spread and dollar roll income.
  • Stable and compelling monthly dividend.

Challenges Ahead

  • Changes in monetary policy and other factors that affect interest rates.
  • MBS spreads to benchmark interest rates.
  • The forward yield curve, or prepayment rates.
  • The availability and terms of financing.
  • Changes in the market value of the Company's assets.