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Sep 30, 2021

ATSG Q3 2021 Earnings Report

ATSG reported record results driven by strong demand for midsize freighters and increased adjusted EBITDA guidance.

Key Takeaways

Air Transport Services Group (ATSG) reported record customer revenues of $466.0 million, up 15 percent compared to the third quarter of 2020. GAAP EPS from continuing operations was $0.85, and adjusted EBITDA reached a record $153.0 million, a 22 percent increase. The company increased its full-year Adjusted EBITDA outlook to at least $535 million.

Record customer revenues increased by 15 percent to $466.0 million.

GAAP EPS from Continuing Operations was $0.85, compared to a loss of $0.10 in the previous year.

Adjusted EPS increased by 46 percent to $0.60.

Record Adjusted EBITDA increased by 22 percent to $153.0 million.

Total Revenue
$466M
Previous year: $404M
+15.3%
EPS
$0.6
Previous year: $0.44
+36.4%
Gross Profit
$115M
Previous year: $94.2M
+21.8%
Cash and Equivalents
$49.8M
Free Cash Flow
-$5.83M
Previous year: $45.9M
-112.7%
Total Assets
$3.22B
Previous year: $2.96B
+8.8%

ATSG

ATSG

ATSG Revenue by Segment

Forward Guidance

ATSG expects full-year Adjusted EBITDA for 2021 to be at least $535 million. The forecast assumes new leases and re-leases of freighter aircraft, continued growth in express-network flying, and continued pandemic effects on passenger and combi aircraft services.

Positive Outlook

  • New leases for fifteen 767-300 and re-leases of four 767-200 freighter aircraft.
  • Continuing growth in express-network flying in 2021, with fourteen additional 767 freighters operated by ATSG's airlines.
  • ATSG's airlines expect to operate forty-six 767 freighters for Amazon by the end of the year.
  • Strong global demand for midsize freighters, like ATSG’s 767s, continues.
  • ATSG's business model perfectly positions them to enable the growth in e-commerce expedited shipping.

Challenges Ahead

  • One freighter previously scheduled for 2021 will now be delivered next year, due to supply chain disruptions.
  • Continued pandemic effects on demand for ATSG’s passenger and combi aircraft services through 2021.
  • Logistics network constraints could impact the ability to assist customers with additional ACMI and charter services.
  • Passenger and combi operations are expected to have results similar to those achieved in the fourth quarter of 2020.
  • Potential unforeseen additional assignments could negatively impact passenger and combi operations.

Revenue & Expenses

Visualization of income flow from segment revenue to net income