Sep 30, 2023

Gogo Q3 2023 Earnings Report

Announced third quarter results, updated 2023 financial guidance, and reiterated long-term targets.

Key Takeaways

Gogo Inc. reported a decrease in total revenue by 7% year-over-year, totaling $97.9 million, but achieved a record third quarter service revenue of $79.5 million, up 6% year-over-year. The company's net income increased by 4% to $20.9 million.

Total revenue decreased 7% year-over-year to $97.9 million.

Record service revenue increased 6% year-over-year to $79.5 million.

Net income increased 4% from Q3 2022, reaching $20.9 million.

Total ATG aircraft online reached 7,150, a 6% increase compared to Q3 2022.

Total Revenue
$97.9M
Previous year: $105M
-7.0%
EPS
$0.16
Previous year: $0.15
+6.7%
Gross Profit
$67.5M
Previous year: $68.8M
-1.8%
Cash and Equivalents
$86.2M
Previous year: $152M
-43.4%
Free Cash Flow
$21M
Previous year: $8.5M
+147.1%
Total Assets
$767M
Previous year: $729M
+5.3%

Gogo

Gogo

Forward Guidance

Gogo anticipates revenue between $390 million and $400 million, with adjusted EBITDA at the higher end of the $150 million to $160 million range, and free cash flow also at the high end of its $60 million to $70 million guidance.

Positive Outlook

  • Revenue growth at a compound annual growth rate of approximately 15%-17% from 2022 through 2027.
  • Annual Adjusted EBITDA Margin in the mid-40% range by 2027.
  • Free Cash Flow in the range of $150 million to $200 million in 2025, without the effect of the FCC Reimbursement program, and growing thereafter.
  • The Company continues to expect that Gogo Galileo will contribute revenue beginning in 2025.
  • Capital expenditures of $25 million to $30 million including $12 million for the Gogo 5G program and $2 million related to the FCC Reimbursement Program, versus prior guidance at the low end of $30 million to $40 million.

Challenges Ahead

  • Total revenue in the range of $390 million to $400 million, versus prior guidance in the range of $410 million to $420 million, driven predominantly by lower equipment revenue.
  • Adjusted EBITDA at the high end of the previously guided range of $150 million to $160 million reflecting operating expenses of approximately $15 million for strategic and operational initiatives including Gogo 5G, Gogo Galileo and the FCC Reimbursement Program.
  • Free Cash Flow at the high end of the previously guided range of $60 million to $70 million which includes approximately $20 million of negative Free Cash Flow due to the expected lag of reimbursements tied to the FCC Reimbursement Program.
  • Near-term revenue headwinds
  • Two-year investment cycle launching Gogo 5G and Galileo