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Mar 31, 2021

Moderna Q1 2021 Earnings Report

Moderna achieved its first profitable quarter, driven by commercial sales of its COVID-19 vaccine in the U.S. and initial international sales.

Key Takeaways

Moderna reported its first profitable quarter in the company's history, with total revenue reaching $1.9 billion, driven by sales of its COVID-19 vaccine. The company delivered on its supply commitments and increased its 2021 supply forecast to between 800 million and 1 billion doses.

Moderna reported its first GAAP profitable quarter in company history.

The company increased its 2021 supply forecast to between 800 million and 1 billion doses.

Initial analysis of the TeenCOVE study showed vaccine efficacy against COVID-19 of 96%.

A single booster dose of mRNA-1273 or mRNA-1273.351 increased neutralizing titers against SARS-CoV-2 variants.

Total Revenue
$1.94B
Previous year: $8.39M
+22989.8%
EPS
$2.84
Previous year: -$0.35
-911.4%
R&D Expense
$401M
SG&A Expense
$77M
Gross Profit
$1.55B
Previous year: -$111M
-1502.2%
Cash and Equivalents
$8.2B
Previous year: $392M
+1991.8%
Free Cash Flow
$2.94B
Previous year: -$112M
-2721.4%
Total Assets
$12.7B
Previous year: $2.07B
+514.0%

Moderna

Moderna

Moderna Revenue by Segment

Forward Guidance

Moderna anticipates continued growth and expansion in 2021 and beyond.

Positive Outlook

  • Company has signed APAs for $19.2 billion in product sales for scheduled delivery in 2021.
  • Company expects doses delivered in Q2 2021 to be in the range of 200-250 million doses.
  • Company anticipates manufacturing investments to facilitate supply of up to 3 billion doses in 2022.
  • Effective tax rate expected in the low-teens.
  • Capital expenditures of $450-550 million planned for 2021.

Challenges Ahead

  • Expect quarter over quarter cost increases in R&D expenses during 2021 as research and development activities and expenses ramp up.
  • Expect quarter over quarter cost increases in SG&A expenses during 2021 as commercial activities and expenses ramp up.
  • Cost of sales as percentage of product sales are expected to be approximately 20% for fiscal year 2021.
  • The FDA or other regulatory agencies may not agree with the Company’s regulatory approval strategies.
  • Potential adverse impacts due to the global COVID-19 pandemic such as delays in regulatory review, manufacturing and clinical trials, supply chain interruptions, adverse effects on healthcare systems and disruption of the global economy

Revenue & Expenses

Visualization of income flow from segment revenue to net income