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Dec 29, 2019
Potbelly Q4 2019 Earnings Report
Potbelly Corporation reported financial results for the fourth fiscal quarter and fiscal year ended December 29, 2019.
Key Takeaways
Potbelly Corporation reported total revenues of $101.8 million and a net loss attributable to Potbelly Corporation of $1.3 million for the fourth quarter of 2019. Company-operated comparable store sales were nearly flat at (0.1%).
Fourth quarter represented the best comparable same-store sales in over three years; third consecutive quarter of sequential same-store sales improvement.
Off-Premise & Digital channel produced record growth, resulting in a mix of 21.7%.
Menu optimization efforts grew average check by 410 basis points from full-year 2018 to full-year 2019.
Executed four new franchise deals, for 42 shops over the next 5-7 years, doubling the Company’s current franchise footprint.
Forward Guidance
For the full fiscal year 2020, management currently expects a 0.5% to 2.0% increase in company-operated comparable store sales and adjusted EBITDA to be between $20.5 million and $25.5 million.
Positive Outlook
- Expect comps to be positive in the first quarter
- Forecasting comps to range between positive 0.5% to 2.0% in fiscal 2020
- Strategic initiatives to help to continue to significantly improve traffic trends moving forward
- 2020 will be a year of capitalizing on momentum
- Testing a series of new initiatives
Challenges Ahead
- Expect 8-10 total shop closures, all of which are company-operated shops
- Cost of goods sold to be between 26.7% and 27.3%
- Labor as a percentage of sales to be between 31.0% and 32.0%
- Adjusted G&A expense to be between $44.0 million and $46.0 million
Historical Earnings Impact
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Avg. Return Before/After Earnings
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