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Dec 29, 2024
Potbelly Q4 2024 Earnings Report
Potbelly reported a decline in revenue but strong profit growth in Q4 2024.
Key Takeaways
Potbelly Corporation posted Q4 2024 revenue of $116.6 million, a 7.3% decline from the prior year due to the impact of a 53rd week in 2023 and refranchising activities. Despite lower revenue, net income surged 69% to $4.6 million, and adjusted EBITDA grew by 30% to $9.7 million. Adjusted EPS increased to $0.13 from $0.02, reflecting operational efficiencies and improved profitability.
Revenue declined 7.3% to $116.6 million due to refranchising and the prior year's 53rd week.
Net income rose 69% to $4.6 million, driven by cost efficiencies.
Adjusted EBITDA increased by 30% to $9.7 million.
Adjusted EPS jumped from $0.02 to $0.13, reflecting stronger profitability.
Forward Guidance
Potbelly expects slight same-store sales declines in Q1 2025 but projects full-year growth. The company plans to open at least 38 new shops in 2025 and targets adjusted EBITDA of $33M to $34M.
Positive Outlook
- At least 38 new shop openings planned for 2025.
- Same-store sales growth expected between 1.5% and 2.5% for FY 2025.
- Adjusted EBITDA forecasted to grow to $33M–$34M in 2025.
- Continued investment in digital assets and menu innovation.
- Expansion of loyalty program expected to drive customer engagement.
Challenges Ahead
- Q1 2025 same-store sales expected to decline by 1.5% to 0.5%.
- Revenue may continue to be impacted by refranchising activities.
- Higher operational costs could pressure margins.
- Competitive pressures in the fast-casual dining segment remain a challenge.
Historical Earnings Impact
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Avg. Return Before/After Earnings
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