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Mar 31, 2024

Peloton Q3 2024 Earnings Report

Peloton's Q3 performance reflected leadership in connected fitness and the strength of its subscription business, achieving positive free cash flow for the first time in over 3 years, and announcing a new restructuring program to reduce annual expenses.

Key Takeaways

Peloton's Q3 FY2024 saw a total revenue of $717.7 million. The company achieved positive Free Cash Flow for the first time in over 3 years and announced a new restructuring program to reduce annual expenses by more than $200 million.

Ended Q3 with 3.056 million Paid Connected Fitness Subscriptions.

Average Net Monthly Paid Connected Fitness Subscription Churn was 1.2%.

Achieved positive Free Cash Flow for the first time in over 3 years.

Announced a new restructuring program to reduce annual expenses by more than $200 million.

Total Revenue
$718M
Previous year: $749M
-4.2%
EPS
-$0.45
Previous year: -$0.79
-43.0%
Ending Paid Fitness Subs
3.05M
Previous year: 3.11M
-1.8%
Avg. Monthly Churn
1.2%
Previous year: 1.1%
+9.1%
Gross Profit
$310M
Previous year: $270M
+14.6%
Cash and Equivalents
$795M
Previous year: $874M
-9.1%
Free Cash Flow
$8.6M
Previous year: -$55.3M
-115.6%
Total Assets
$2.41B
Previous year: $3.02B
-20.2%

Peloton

Peloton

Peloton Revenue by Segment

Forward Guidance

Peloton is lowering its full year outlook for Ending Paid Connected Fitness Subscriptions and Ending Paid App Subscriptions. They are raising their full year outlook for Total Gross Margin and Adjusted EBITDA. They expect to deliver modest positive Free Cash Flow in Q4.

Positive Outlook

  • Raising full year outlook for Total Gross Margin by 50 basis points, to 44.5%, primarily due to a revenue mix-shift toward our Subscription segment.
  • Raising outlook for full year Adjusted EBITDA by $37 million at the guidance midpoint to negative $13 million.
  • Expect to deliver modest positive Free Cash Flow in Q4.
  • Cost structure better aligned to the current size of our business.
  • Clear path to sustainable positive Free Cash Flow.

Challenges Ahead

  • Lowering full year outlook for Ending Paid Connected Fitness Subscriptions by 30 thousand, or 1%, at the guidance midpoint to 2.97 million.
  • Lowering outlook for Ending Paid App Subscriptions by 150 thousand, or 19%, at the guidance midpoint to 605 thousand.
  • Lowering full year Revenue guidance by $25 million, or 1%, at the guidance midpoint to $2.687 billion.
  • Q4 is typically most challenging quarter to grow, due to lower seasonal gross additions.
  • Anticipate a seasonal increase in Average Net Monthly Paid Connected Fitness Subscription churn in Q4.

Revenue & Expenses

Visualization of income flow from segment revenue to net income