Oct 06, 2024

Red Robin Q3 2024 Earnings Report

Red Robin reported third quarter results, with comparable restaurant sales increasing and a relaunched loyalty program continuing growth.

Key Takeaways

Red Robin's third quarter results were in line with expectations, with comparable restaurant revenue exceeding the industry average. Guest satisfaction scores improved to levels not seen since 2016, and the relaunched loyalty program showed potential. The company is focused on executing its strategic plan to drive long-term growth.

Total revenues decreased by $2.9 million to $274.6 million.

Comparable restaurant revenue increased by 0.6%.

Net loss was $18.9 million, compared to a net loss of $8.2 million last year.

Adjusted EBITDA was $2.1 million compared to $6.8 million last year.

Total Revenue
$275M
Previous year: $278M
-1.1%
EPS
-$1.13
Previous year: -$0.79
+43.0%
Comparable Restaurant Revenue
0.6%
Previous year: -3.4%
-117.6%
Restaurant-Level Operating Profit Margin
9%
Previous year: 11.1%
-18.9%
Gross Profit
$14.9M
Previous year: $20.1M
-25.8%
Cash and Equivalents
$22M
Previous year: $60.8M
-63.8%
Free Cash Flow
-$20.7M
Total Assets
$669M
Previous year: $777M
-13.9%

Red Robin

Red Robin

Red Robin Revenue by Segment

Forward Guidance

The Company's updated guidance for fiscal 2024 is: •Total revenue of approximately $1.250 billion; •Restaurant level operating profit of at least 10.5%, inclusive of investments in the Guest experience and rent expense related to the sale leaseback transactions; •Adjusted EBITDA of $35.0 million to $37.5 million; •Capital expenditures of approximately $25 million.

Positive Outlook

  • Total revenue of approximately $1.250 billion.
  • Restaurant level operating profit of at least 10.5%, inclusive of investments in the Guest experience and rent expense related to the sale leaseback transactions.
  • Adjusted EBITDA of $35.0 million to $37.5 million.
  • Capital expenditures of approximately $25 million.
  • Extended the terms of the Second Amendment through the first quarter of 2026.

Challenges Ahead

  • Providing Income (loss) from operations and Net income (loss) guidance is potentially misleading and not practical given the difficulty of projecting event-driven transactional and other non-core operating items.
  • Fiscal 2024 includes 52 weeks versus 53 weeks in fiscal 2023.
  • Global and domestic economic and geopolitical environment and the impacts on the restaurant industry.
  • Changes in cost and availability of commodities.
  • Interruptions in the delivery of food and other products from third parties.