Dec 31, 2023

Red Robin Q4 2023 Earnings Report

Red Robin reported an improved net loss and increased total revenue, driven by an additional week in the quarter.

Key Takeaways

Red Robin Gourmet Burgers, Inc. reported financial results for the fourth quarter and fiscal year ended December 31, 2023. The company saw an increase in total revenues, a significant improvement in net loss, and a rise in Adjusted EBITDA compared to the same period in the previous year. While comparable restaurant revenue decreased slightly for the quarter, the company highlighted its progress in operational improvements and financial strengthening.

Total revenues increased by $19.4 million, including an additional week in the quarter.

Comparable restaurant revenue decreased by 2.7%.

Net loss improved by $31.0 million compared to Q4 2022.

Adjusted EBITDA increased by 26%.

Total Revenue
$309M
Previous year: $290M
+6.5%
EPS
-$0.66
Previous year: -$1.35
-51.1%
Comparable Restaurant Revenue
-2.7%
Previous year: 2.5%
-208.0%
Restaurant-Level Operating Profit Margin
12.2%
Previous year: 11.4%
+7.0%
Gross Profit
$30.9M
Previous year: $95.1M
-67.5%
Cash and Equivalents
$23.6M
Previous year: $48.8M
-51.6%
Total Assets
$742M
Previous year: $832M
-10.8%

Red Robin

Red Robin

Forward Guidance

Red Robin provided guidance for fiscal year 2024, including total revenue, comparable restaurant revenue, restaurant level operating profit, and capital expenditures.

Positive Outlook

  • Total revenue is expected to be between $1.250 billion and $1.275 billion.
  • Restaurant level operating profit is projected to be between 12.5% and 13.5%.
  • Adjusted EBITDA is expected to be between $60 million and $70 million.
  • The company anticipates completing a Sale-Leaseback transaction to sell and simultaneously lease-back from eight (8) to eleven (11) owned properties during the first quarter of fiscal 2024.
  • Red Robin expects the transaction to generate gross proceeds of $20 million to $26 million and to use net proceeds from the transaction to repay debt.

Challenges Ahead

  • Comparable restaurant revenue is expected to have a low single digit percentage decline.
  • Guidance is inclusive of investments in the Guest experience and rent expenses related to the sale leaseback transactions.
  • Fiscal 2024 includes 52 weeks versus 53 weeks in fiscal 2023.
  • The company has not provided a reconciliation of its Restaurant Level Operating Profit or Adjusted EBITDA outlook to the most comparable GAAP measure of Income (loss) from operations and Net income (loss), respectively.
  • Providing Income (loss) from operations and Net Income (loss) guidance is potentially misleading and not practical given the difficulty of projecting event-driven transactional and other non-core operating items