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Mar 31, 2024

Selective Insurance Q1 2024 Earnings Report

Selective Insurance reported first quarter 2024 results with net income of $1.31 per diluted common share and non-GAAP operating income of $1.33 per diluted common share.

Key Takeaways

Selective Insurance Group, Inc. reported a strong first quarter in 2024, with a 16% increase in net premiums written and after-tax net investment income up 17%. The combined ratio was 98.2%, impacted by prior year casualty reserve development and catastrophe losses. The company is focused on disciplined underwriting and profitable growth strategies.

Net premiums written increased 16% compared to the first quarter of 2023.

The GAAP combined ratio was 98.2%, compared to 95.7% in the first quarter of 2023, impacted by prior year casualty reserve development and catastrophe losses.

Commercial Lines renewal pure price increases averaged 7.6%, up 0.6 points from the first quarter of 2023.

After-tax net investment income was $86 million, up 17% compared to the first quarter of 2023.

Total Revenue
$1.17B
Previous year: $1B
+16.5%
EPS
$1.33
Previous year: $1.44
-7.6%
Total Combined Ratio
98.2%
Previous year: 95.7%
+2.6%
Commercial Lines Combined
98.8%
Previous year: 94.7%
+4.3%
Personal Lines Combined
105.1%
Previous year: 116%
-9.4%
Gross Profit
$1.14B
Previous year: $1B
+14.4%
Cash and Equivalents
$11.8M
Previous year: $35.7M
-66.8%
Free Cash Flow
$108M
Previous year: $130M
-17.1%
Total Assets
$11.2B
Previous year: $11B
+1.6%

Selective Insurance

Selective Insurance

Selective Insurance Revenue by Segment

Forward Guidance

For 2024, the company increased its expectation for the GAAP combined ratio to 96.5%, including net catastrophe losses of 5.0 points. After-tax net investment income is expected to be $360 million, with an overall effective tax rate of approximately 21.0% and weighted average shares of 61.5 million on a fully diluted basis.

Positive Outlook

  • After-tax net investment income of $360 million
  • Effective tax rate of 21.0%
  • Maintaining other full-year expectations
  • Combined ratio estimate assumes no additional prior year casualty reserve development
  • Net catastrophe losses of 5.0 points

Challenges Ahead

  • GAAP combined ratio of 96.5%
  • Reflecting unfavorable prior year casualty reserve development
  • Current year loss cost increases in the first quarter
  • Challenging conditions in the economy, global capital markets, the banking sector, and commercial real estate
  • Deterioration in the public debt, public equity, or private investment markets that could lead to investment losses and interest rate fluctuations

Revenue & Expenses

Visualization of income flow from segment revenue to net income