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Jun 30, 2020

Selective Insurance Q2 2020 Earnings Report

Selective Insurance reported net income and non-GAAP operating income for Q2 2020.

Key Takeaways

Selective Insurance Group reported a decrease in net income per diluted share to $0.57 and non-GAAP operating income per diluted share to $0.40 for the second quarter ended June 30, 2020. The results were impacted by elevated catastrophe losses and a decline in alternative investment income, but the underlying profitability remained excellent with a combined ratio of 98.4%.

Net premiums written increased by 3% compared to the second quarter of 2019.

GAAP combined ratio was 98.4%.

Annualized return on equity was 6.2%, and non-GAAP operating ROE was 4.4%.

Overall renewal pure price increased by 3.9%.

Total Revenue
$725M
Previous year: $701M
+3.3%
EPS
$0.4
Previous year: $1.16
-65.5%
Total Combined Ratio
98.4%
Commercial Lines Combined
96.7%
Personal Lines Combined
108.8%
Gross Profit
$681M
Previous year: $690M
-1.3%
Cash and Equivalents
$5.64M
Previous year: $7.64M
-26.2%
Free Cash Flow
$154M
Previous year: $109M
+40.5%
Total Assets
$9.31B
Previous year: $8.58B
+8.5%

Selective Insurance

Selective Insurance

Selective Insurance Revenue by Segment

Forward Guidance

Selective provided revised full-year guidance for 2020, reflecting the current estimated full-year impact of COVID-19.

Positive Outlook

  • A GAAP combined ratio, excluding catastrophe losses, of between 90% and 91%, an improvement from the first quarter guidance.
  • After-tax net investment income of approximately $170 million, a $10 million improvement from the first quarter guidance.
  • Up to $5 million in after-tax net investment income from alternative investments is expected.
  • An overall effective tax rate of approximately 18.5% is anticipated.
  • Weighted average shares of 60.5 million on a diluted basis.

Challenges Ahead

  • Guidance has a higher degree of uncertainty than prior years due to the dynamic and fluid nature of the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic.
  • Potential reduction in premium and adverse impact on underwriting results due to voluntary premium credits and regulatory directives.
  • Possible increase in loss and loss expenses due to litigation or changes in statutory or common law related to COVID-19.
  • Potential impact on net investment income due to financial market volatility.
  • Catastrophe losses of 6.0 points on the combined ratio, reflecting higher than expected losses through the first half of the year.

Revenue & Expenses

Visualization of income flow from segment revenue to net income