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Sep 30, 2023

Selective Insurance Q3 2023 Earnings Report

Selective Insurance reported third quarter results with net income of $1.42 per diluted common share and non-GAAP operating income of $1.51 per diluted common share.

Key Takeaways

Selective Insurance Group, Inc. reported a strong third quarter with a non-GAAP operating ROE of 15.0%. Net premiums written increased by 17% and the combined ratio was 96.8%. The company is expanding its Commercial Lines footprint and remains focused on long-term, profitable growth.

Net premiums written increased 17% compared to the third quarter of 2022.

GAAP combined ratio was 96.8%, in line with the third quarter of 2022.

After-tax net investment income was $80 million, up 56% compared to the third quarter of 2022.

Non-GAAP operating ROE was 15.0% for the quarter.

Total Revenue
$1.06B
Previous year: $903M
+17.1%
EPS
$1.51
Previous year: $0.99
+52.5%
Total Combined Ratio
96.8%
Previous year: 96.8%
+0.0%
Commercial Lines Combined
94.7%
Previous year: 96.8%
-2.2%
Personal Lines Combined
127.4%
Previous year: 101.8%
+25.1%
Gross Profit
$1.06B
Previous year: $880M
+20.1%
Cash and Equivalents
$13.3M
Previous year: $10.5B
-99.9%
Free Cash Flow
$223M
Previous year: $234M
-4.6%
Total Assets
$11.4B
Previous year: $10.5B
+8.6%

Selective Insurance

Selective Insurance

Selective Insurance Revenue by Segment

Forward Guidance

For 2023, Selective expects a GAAP combined ratio of 96.5%, after-tax net investment income of $310 million, an overall effective tax rate of approximately 21%, and weighted average shares of 61 million on a fully diluted basis.

Positive Outlook

  • GAAP combined ratio of 96.5%.
  • Net catastrophe losses of 6.5 points.
  • After-tax net investment income of $310 million.
  • Effective tax rate of 21% for all other items.
  • Weighted average shares of 61 million on a fully diluted basis.

Challenges Ahead

  • Net catastrophe losses of 6.5 points, up from prior guidance of 6.0 points.
  • After-tax net investment income includes $20 million of after-tax net investment income from our alternative investments, down from our $30 million prior guidance.
  • Our combined ratio estimate assumes no additional prior-year casualty reserve development.
  • Challenging conditions in the economy, global capital markets, the banking sector, and commercial real estate, including prolonged higher inflation, could increase loss costs and negatively impact investment portfolios.
  • Deterioration in the public debt and equity markets and private investment marketplace that could lead to investment losses and interest rate fluctuations.

Revenue & Expenses

Visualization of income flow from segment revenue to net income