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Mar 31

Alcoa Q1 2025 Earnings Report

Alcoa reported strong earnings growth driven by higher aluminum prices and strategic joint ventures.

Key Takeaways

Alcoa posted a significant turnaround in Q1 2025, achieving strong revenue and net income gains due to favorable market conditions for aluminum and a focus on operational excellence.

Net income reached $548 million, reversing a loss from the same quarter last year.

Adjusted EBITDA rose to $855 million, mainly driven by higher aluminum prices.

Alcoa formed a joint venture with IGNIS to support San Ciprián operations.

Despite tariffs on Canadian aluminum imports, cash and liquidity remained strong with $1.2 billion in cash.

Total Revenue
$3.37B
Previous year: $2.6B
+29.6%
EPS
$2.15
Previous year: -$0.81
-365.4%
Bauxite Production
9.5M
Previous year: 10.1M
-5.9%
Alumina Production
2.36M
Previous year: 2.67M
-11.8%
Aluminum Production
564K
Previous year: 542K
+4.1%
Gross Profit
$783M
Previous year: $195M
+301.5%
Cash and Equivalents
$1.2B
Previous year: $1.36B
-11.5%
Free Cash Flow
-$18M
Previous year: -$324M
-94.4%
Total Assets
$14.6B
Previous year: $14.3B
+1.7%

Alcoa

Alcoa

Alcoa Revenue by Segment

Forward Guidance

Alcoa expects steady production volumes and alumina EBITDA, but anticipates cost pressures and tariff impacts in the aluminum segment.

Positive Outlook

  • 2025 alumina production expected to remain between 9.5 to 9.7 million metric tons.
  • Strong alumina segment EBITDA performance expected to continue in Q2.
  • Alumina costs in aluminum segment expected to improve by $165 million in Q2.
  • Operational tax benefit of $50–$60 million anticipated in Q2 2025.
  • Restart of San Ciprián smelter supported by new joint venture structure.

Challenges Ahead

  • $90 million expected impact from U.S. Section 232 aluminum import tariffs in Q2.
  • $15 million in San Ciprián restart costs projected for Q2.
  • Working capital days increased to 47, indicating rising inventory levels.
  • Accounts payable decreased due to lower alumina trading activity.
  • Increase in other expenses forecasted due to equity investment losses.

Revenue & Expenses

Visualization of income flow from segment revenue to net income