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Jun 30, 2023

AES Q2 2023 Earnings Report

AES's financial performance for Q2 2023 reflected a mix of strategic progress and financial results, with reaffirmation of 2023 guidance and annualized growth rate targets.

Key Takeaways

AES reported a Net Income loss of ($19) million and an Adjusted EPS of $0.21 for Q2 2023. The company reaffirmed its 2023 guidance for Adjusted EPS of $1.65 to $1.75 and Adjusted EBITDA of $2,600 to $2,900 million.

Signed new long-term contracts for 2.2 GW of renewables in year-to-date 2023.

On track to complete construction of 3.4 GW of renewables in 2023, with 786 MW completed in year-to-date 2023.

Filed a new rate case and for regulatory approval to build the largest energy storage facility in the state at AES Indiana.

Continued progress toward exiting coal by year-end 2025 with the retirement of 415 MW at Petersburg Unit 2 in Indiana.

Total Revenue
$3.03B
Previous year: $3.08B
-1.7%
EPS
$0.21
Previous year: $0.34
-38.2%
Gross Profit
$498M
Previous year: $563M
-11.5%
Cash and Equivalents
$1.32B
Previous year: $1.08B
+23.0%
Free Cash Flow
-$1.28B
Previous year: -$485M
+164.5%
Total Assets
$41.5B
Previous year: $36.1B
+15.1%

AES

AES

AES Revenue by Segment

Forward Guidance

The Company is reaffirming its 2023 guidance for Adjusted EBITDA of $2,600 to $2,900 million, and its expectation for annualized growth in Adjusted EBITDA of 3% to 5% through 2027, from a base of its reaffirmed 2023 guidance. Excluding the Company's Energy Infrastructure SBU, annualized growth in Adjusted EBITDA is expected to be 17% to 20% through 2027, from a base of 2023 guidance. The Company is reaffirming its 2023 guidance for Adjusted EPS of $1.65 to $1.75. Growth in 2023 is expected to be primarily driven by new renewables expected to come online.

Positive Outlook

  • Reaffirming 2023 Adjusted EBITDA guidance of $2,600 to $2,900 million
  • Reaffirming 2023 Adjusted EPS guidance of $1.65 to $1.75
  • Anticipated Adjusted EBITDA growth of 3% to 5% through 2027
  • Anticipated Adjusted EBITDA growth of 17% to 20% through 2027 excluding the Energy Infrastructure SBU
  • Growth in 2023 expected to be primarily driven by new renewables coming online

Challenges Ahead

  • Lower margins from the Company's LNG business due to normalization of LNG prices.
  • Roll-off of a gas supply contract.
  • Lower contract margins in Chile.
  • Higher interest expense in Colombia.

Revenue & Expenses

Visualization of income flow from segment revenue to net income