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Dec 31, 2023

AES Q4 2023 Earnings Report

Reported record performance and raised long-term guidance.

Key Takeaways

AES reported strong financial results for 2023, exceeding strategic objectives with increased renewables construction and new PPA signings. The company is well-positioned for future growth with positive financial outlook.

Signed new contracts for 5.6 GW of renewables in full year 2023.

Completed construction of 3.5 GW of renewables in full year 2023.

Secured $1.1 billion in asset sale proceeds, exceeding target.

Backlog of signed PPAs now stands at 12.3 GW.

Total Revenue
$2.97B
Previous year: $3.06B
-3.0%
EPS
$0.73
Previous year: $0.49
+49.0%
Gross Profit
$494M
Previous year: $563M
-12.3%
Cash and Equivalents
$2.19B
Previous year: $1.37B
+59.5%
Free Cash Flow
-$1.7B
Previous year: -$774M
+120.2%
Total Assets
$44.8B
Previous year: $38.4B
+16.8%

AES

AES

AES Revenue by Segment

Forward Guidance

The Company is raising its expectation for annualized growth in Adjusted EBITDA to 5% to 7% from 3% to 5% through 2027, from a base of its 2023 guidance of $2,600 to $2,900 million. The Company is initiating 2024 guidance for Adjusted EBITDA of $2,600 to $2,900 million.

Positive Outlook

  • Growth in 2024 is expected to be primarily driven by new renewables commissionings.
  • Rate base growth at US utilities.
  • Improved margins in Chile.
  • Reaffirming annualized growth target for Adjusted EPS of 7% to 9% through 2025.
  • Raising annualized growth target for Adjusted EPS to 7% to 9% from 6% to 8% through 2027.

Challenges Ahead

  • Impacts from significant asset sales closed in 2023 and expected to close in 2024.
  • Prior year margins earned on LNG transactions.
  • Company expects to grow its dividend by 2% to 3% annually after 2024.
  • Foreign currency and commodity forward curves as of December 31, 2023.
  • Minimize equity issuance as a source of capital.

Revenue & Expenses

Visualization of income flow from segment revenue to net income