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Sep 30, 2022

AFG Q3 2022 Earnings Report

American Financial Group reported a decrease in net earnings and core net operating earnings for the third quarter of 2022, driven by lower returns in the alternative investment portfolio. The company also announced a special cash dividend.

Key Takeaways

American Financial Group's third quarter 2022 net earnings were $165 million ($1.93 per share) compared to $219 million ($2.56 per share) in the 2021 third quarter. Core net operating earnings were $192 million ($2.24 per share) for the 2022 third quarter, compared to $231 million ($2.71 per share) in the 2021 third quarter. The company announced a special cash dividend of $2.00 per share.

Net earnings per share of $1.93; includes ($0.31) per share in after-tax non-core items.

Core net operating earnings $2.24 per share, includes $0.36 per share of after-tax catastrophe losses.

Specialty P&C combined ratio of 91.1% includes 2.5 points of catastrophe losses.

Announces special cash dividend of $2.00 per share, payable November 22, 2022.

Total Revenue
$1.77B
Previous year: $1.53B
+15.6%
EPS
$2.24
Previous year: $2.71
-17.3%
Book Value per Share
$46.2
Previous year: $61.8
-25.3%
Gross Profit
$1.98B
Previous year: $1.75B
+13.1%
Cash and Equivalents
$14.3B
Previous year: $16.4B
-12.6%
Total Assets
$14.3B
Previous year: $29.9B
-52.2%

AFG

AFG

AFG Revenue by Segment

Forward Guidance

AFG expects 2022 core net operating earnings to be in the range of $11.00 to $11.75 per share and an overall 2022 calendar year combined ratio in the range of 86% to 87%. Net written premiums are expected to be 10% to 12% higher than the $5.6 billion reported in 2021.

Positive Outlook

  • Expects 2022 core net operating earnings to be in the range of $11.00 to $11.75 per share.
  • Assumes an overall annual yield of 12% on alternative investments for the full year.
  • Expects an overall 2022 calendar year combined ratio in the range of 86% to 87%.
  • Expects net written premiums to be 10% to 12% higher than the $5.6 billion reported in 2021.
  • Achieving renewal pricing in excess of prospective loss ratio trends in the vast majority of businesses.

Challenges Ahead

  • Guidance reflects minimal income from alternative investments in the fourth quarter of 2022.
  • Management assumes that continued strong performance of multi-family housing investments will offset weaker performance of traditional private equity investments.
  • Guidance continues to reflect an average crop year.
  • Catastrophe losses impacted AFG’s underwriting results for the third quarter of 2022 by $39 million.
  • Property and casualty net investment income was approximately 12% lower than the comparable 2021 period.

Revenue & Expenses

Visualization of income flow from segment revenue to net income