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Assured Guaranty
🇧🇲 NYSE:AGO
•
Dec 31, 2024

Assured Guaranty Q4 2024 Earnings Report

Assured Guaranty reported a decline in net income for Q4 2024, influenced by foreign exchange losses and lower investment gains. Adjusted operating income also fell compared to the prior year.

Key Takeaways

Assured Guaranty reported Q4 2024 net income of $18 million, or $0.35 per share, a sharp decline from Q4 2023. Adjusted operating income was $66 million, or $1.27 per share. The company saw lower net investment income and higher loss expenses, affecting profitability. Gross written premiums were $186 million for the quarter.

Net income declined to $18 million due to foreign exchange losses and lower fair value gains.

Adjusted operating income was $66 million, compared to $338 million in Q4 2023.

Gross written premiums increased to $186 million, driven by non-U.S. public finance.

Capital returned to shareholders totaled $107 million, including $91 million in share repurchases.

Total Revenue
$156M
Previous year: $83M
+88.0%
EPS
$1.27
Previous year: $5.75
-77.9%
Gross Written Premiums
$186M
Free Cash Flow
-$4M
Capital Returned to Shareholders
$107M
Cash and Equivalents
$121M
Previous year: $286M
-57.7%
Total Assets
$11.9B
Previous year: $12.5B
-5.1%

Assured Guaranty Revenue

Assured Guaranty EPS

Assured Guaranty Revenue by Segment

Assured Guaranty Revenue by Geographic Location

Forward Guidance

Assured Guaranty expects continued volatility due to macroeconomic conditions but remains focused on disciplined capital allocation and market penetration.

Positive Outlook

  • Strong demand in U.S. public finance market.
  • Shareholder returns through buybacks and dividends remain a priority.
  • Growing presence in non-U.S. public finance and structured finance.
  • Operational discipline and expense management.
  • Consistent performance in core insurance business.

Challenges Ahead

  • Foreign exchange volatility impacting earnings.
  • Declining fair value gains on trading securities.
  • Higher loss expenses due to economic developments.
  • Weaker investment income compared to prior year.
  • Competitive pressures in structured finance sector.