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Dec 31, 2024

Bigbear.Ai Q4 2024 Earnings Report

BigBear.ai reported increased revenue but higher net losses in Q4 2024.

Key Takeaways

BigBear.ai reported Q4 2024 revenue of $43.8 million, reflecting an 8% year-over-year increase. The company's gross margin improved to 37.4%, up from 32.1% in Q4 2023. However, the company posted a net loss of $108.0 million, driven largely by non-cash changes in derivative liabilities. Adjusted EBITDA came in at $2.0 million, a decrease from $3.7 million in Q4 2023, due to increased recurring SG&A expenses.

Revenue increased 8% year-over-year to $43.8 million.

Gross margin improved to 37.4%, compared to 32.1% in Q4 2023.

Net loss widened to $108.0 million, primarily due to non-cash derivative liability adjustments.

Adjusted EBITDA declined to $2.0 million from $3.7 million in Q4 2023.

Total Revenue
$43.8M
Previous year: $40.6M
+8.0%
EPS
-$0.43
Previous year: -$0.14
+207.1%
Ending Backlog
$418M
Adjusted EBITDA
$2M
Previous year: $3.7M
-45.9%
Gross Profit
$16.4M
Previous year: $13M
+26.0%
Cash and Equivalents
$50.1M
Previous year: $32.6M
+54.0%
Free Cash Flow
-$14.8M
Previous year: -$74K
+19908.1%
Total Assets
$344M
Previous year: $200M
+72.0%

Bigbear.Ai

Bigbear.Ai

Bigbear.Ai Revenue by Geographic Location

Forward Guidance

BigBear.ai projects full-year 2025 revenue between $160 million and $180 million, with negative single-digit adjusted EBITDA. The company expects continued revenue growth but remains cautious about macroeconomic uncertainties and potential government spending constraints.

Positive Outlook

  • Revenue guidance of $160M - $180M for 2025.
  • Ongoing expansion in AI-powered decision intelligence market.
  • Stronger balance sheet after debt reduction efforts.
  • Increased contract backlog to $418 million, supporting future revenue.
  • Operational efficiency improvements expected in 2025.

Challenges Ahead

  • Macroeconomic challenges may impact government spending.
  • Continued net losses expected in the near term.
  • Higher SG&A expenses could pressure profitability.
  • Increased competition in AI and defense-related markets.
  • Potential delays in government contract execution.