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Dec 31, 2021

CF Industries Q4 2021 Earnings Report

Reported net earnings of $705 million and adjusted EBITDA of $1.26 billion.

Key Takeaways

CF Industries Holdings, Inc. reported strong Q4 2021 results, with net earnings of $705 million and adjusted EBITDA of $1.26 billion, driven by strong global nitrogen demand and favorable energy spreads. The company repurchased approximately 7.5 million shares for $490 million during the fourth quarter, effectively completing the $1 billion share repurchase authorization that expired December 31, 2021.

Net earnings attributable to common stockholders were $705 million, or $3.27 per diluted share.

EBITDA was $1.19 billion and adjusted EBITDA was $1.26 billion.

Net sales were $2.5 billion compared to $1.1 billion in 2020.

The company repurchased approximately 7.5 million shares for $490 million during the fourth quarter of 2021.

Total Revenue
$2.54B
Previous year: $1.1B
+130.5%
EPS
$3.27
Previous year: $0.4
+717.5%
Gross Profit
$1.16B
Previous year: $180M
+541.7%
Cash and Equivalents
$1.63B
Previous year: $683M
+138.4%
Free Cash Flow
$2.17B
Previous year: $748M
+189.4%
Total Assets
$12.4B
Previous year: $12B
+2.9%

CF Industries

CF Industries

Forward Guidance

Management expects gross ammonia production for 2022 will return to historical levels (9.5 to 10.0 million tons) based on normal operating conditions and a return to a typical level of planned maintenance activities. Management projects capital expenditures for full year 2022 will be in a range of $500-$550 million, which includes capital expenditures at the Company’s Donaldsonville, LA, Complex related to green and blue ammonia projects.

Positive Outlook

  • Global nitrogen supply and demand balance to remain tight for the foreseeable future
  • Commercial environment to be highly favorable for producers in low-cost regions
  • The need to replenish global grains stocks continues to support high front month and forward prices for nitrogen-consuming crops
  • Increased economic activity continues to drive strong demand for diesel exhaust fluid for emissions abatement as well as ammonia, urea and nitric acid for industrial uses
  • Energy differentials between Europe and Asia versus low cost regions remain significant, steepening the global nitrogen cost curve and increasing margin opportunities for low-cost North American producers

Challenges Ahead

  • High energy prices in Europe and Asia
  • Ongoing restrictions on exports of certain nitrogen products from Russia, Egypt, Turkey and China
  • Urea exports from China are expected to be limited through at least the first half of 2022
  • Drought conditions in Southern Brazil and Argentina, which has reduced production forecasts for the current first crop corn
  • Forward curves for natural gas in Europe remain above historical norms, challenging producer profitability and likely resulting in continued lower operating rates in the region