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Dec 28, 2024

Flowers Foods Q4 2024 Earnings Report

Flowers Foods' Q4 2024 results were reported, featuring a decrease in net sales but increases in net income and adjusted EBITDA.

Key Takeaways

Flowers Foods reported a decrease in net sales by 1.6% to $1.111 billion in Q4 2024, but net income increased by 20.9% to $43.1 million and adjusted EBITDA increased by 6.3% to $102.4 million. The company's performance was driven by positive pricing/mix offsetting volume declines, moderating ingredient costs, optimization of the non-retail business, and cost savings initiatives.

Net sales decreased 1.6% to $1.111 billion due to volume declines offsetting positive pricing/mix.

Net income increased 20.9% to $43.1 million, representing 3.9% of sales.

Adjusted EBITDA increased 6.3% to $102.4 million, representing 9.2% of net sales.

Diluted EPS increased $0.03 to $0.20, and adjusted diluted EPS increased $0.02 to $0.22.

Total Revenue
$1.11B
Previous year: $1.13B
-1.6%
EPS
$0.22
Previous year: $0.2
+10.0%
Pricing/Mix Change
0.9%
Previous year: 5.6%
-83.9%
Sales Volume Change
-2.5%
Previous year: -2.4%
+4.2%
Gross Profit
$506M
Previous year: $504M
+0.3%
Cash and Equivalents
$5.01M
Previous year: $22.5M
-77.8%
Free Cash Flow
$85M
Previous year: $60.5M
+40.5%
Total Assets
$3.4B
Previous year: $3.43B
-0.8%

Flowers Foods

Flowers Foods

Flowers Foods Revenue by Segment

Forward Guidance

For the 53-week Fiscal 2025, the company expects net sales of approximately $5.403 billion to $5.487 billion, adjusted EBITDA in the range of approximately $560 million to $591 million, and adjusted diluted EPS in the range of approximately $1.11 to $1.24.

Positive Outlook

  • Net sales of approximately $5.403 billion to $5.487 billion, representing 5.9% to 7.5% growth compared to the prior year.
  • Excluding the Simple Mills acquisition, net sales of approximately $5.180 billion to $5.257 billion, representing 1.5% to 3.0% growth compared to the prior year.
  • Adjusted EBITDA in the range of approximately $560 million to $591 million.
  • Excluding the Simple Mills acquisition, adjusted EBITDA in the range of approximately $526 million to $554 million.
  • Adjusted diluted EPS in the range of approximately $1.11 to $1.24.

Challenges Ahead

  • The partial-year benefit of the Simple Mills acquisition is expected to be ($0.07) to ($0.04) dilutive to adjusted EPS.
  • The outlook for the back half incorporates the lapping of benefits, commodity cost headwinds, and continued challenging category trends.
  • First-half results are expected to benefit from the carryover of new business wins and savings and pricing initiatives, as well as moderating commodity costs.
  • Depreciation and amortization in the range of $175 million to $185 million.
  • Net interest expense of approximately $60 million to $65 million.