Reported strong first quarter results and raised full-year outlook.
Key Takeaways
Kellogg Company reported strong first quarter 2021 results with net sales growth broad-based across regions and global categories, and operating profit and earnings per share grew on top of year-ago exceptional growth. On the strength of this performance, the Company increased its full-year financial outlook.
Kellogg continued to execute well against its priorities of protecting employees' health and safety, supplying food to the marketplace, and aiding communities during the COVID-19 pandemic.
Strong net sales growth was broad-based across regions and global categories despite lapping exceptional year-ago performance.
Operating profit and earnings per share grew on top of year-ago exceptional growth as higher net sales and operating leverage resulted in balanced financial delivery.
Kellogg increased its full-year financial outlook.
Kellogg Company raised its full-year financial guidance on the strength of its first quarter results.
Positive Outlook
Organic net sales growth is now expected to finish 2021 approximately flat year on year, up from previous guidance of a decline of approximately (1)%. This implies a 2-year compound annual growth rate of almost 3%.
Currency-neutral adjusted operating profit growth is now projected to decline approximately (1)% - (2)% year on year, an improvement from previous guidance of a decline of approximately (2)%. This equates to a 2-year compound annual growth rate of approximately 4% excluding since-divested businesses from the 2019 base.
Currency-neutral adjusted earnings per share for the full year is now estimated to increase by approximately +1% - 2% year on year, an improvement from previous guidance +1%. This implies a 2-year compound annual growth rate of approximately 5% excluding since-divested businesses from the 2019 base.
Net cash provided by operating activities is now expected to finish 2021 at approximately $1.6 - $1.7 billion, above the previous guidance range of $1.6 billion.
Cash flow is now expected to finish 2021 at $1.1 - $1.2 billion, an increase from the previous guidance of approximately $1.1 billion.
Challenges Ahead
Historical Earnings Impact
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Guidance excludes any significant supply chain or other prolonged market disruptions related to the pandemic or global economy.
Currency-neutral adjusted operating profit growth is now projected to decline approximately (1)% - (2)% year on year
Uncertainty of the magnitude, duration, geographic reach, impact on the global economy and current and potential travel restrictions of the COVID-19 outbreak
The current, and uncertain future, impact of the COVID-19 outbreak on business, growth, reputation, prospects, financial condition, operating results (including components of financial results), and cash flows and liquidity
The risk that disruptions from the divestiture will divert management's focus or harm the Company’s business