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Mar 31, 2024

Mosaic Q1 2024 Earnings Report

Mosaic's first quarter 2024 earnings were reported, showing a decrease in net earnings compared to the previous year, but with progress in strategic initiatives and cost reduction plans.

Key Takeaways

Mosaic reported net earnings of $45 million for Q1 2024, a decrease from $435 million in the same period last year. Adjusted EBITDA was $576 million, down from $777 million in Q1 2023. The company is focusing on execution and completion of low capital intensity initiatives.

Net earnings were $45 million, with adjusted EPS at $0.65 and adjusted EBITDA at $576 million.

Revenues totaled $2.7 billion, a 26% decrease from the previous year due to lower selling prices.

Transaction announced with Ma'aden, valuing Mosaic's stake at approximately $1.5 billion.

Completed 800,000 tonne MicroEssentials capacity conversion and Riverview facility returned to full capacity.

Total Revenue
$2.68B
Previous year: $3.6B
-25.7%
EPS
$0.65
Previous year: $1.14
-43.0%
Potash sales volume
2.1M
Previous year: 1.9M
+10.5%
Phosphates sales volume
2.2M
Previous year: 1.8M
+22.2%
Mosaic Fertilizantes volume
2.7M
Previous year: 2.1M
+28.6%
Gross Profit
$399M
Previous year: $670M
-40.5%
Cash and Equivalents
$337M
Previous year: $465M
-27.6%
Free Cash Flow
$203M
Previous year: -$173M
-217.7%
Total Assets
$22.9B
Previous year: $22.9B
+0.1%

Mosaic

Mosaic

Mosaic Revenue by Segment

Forward Guidance

The company provided modeling assumptions for the full year 2024, including capital expenditures between $1.1 - 1.2 billion, depreciation, depletion & amortization between $960 - $990 million, and selling, general, and administrative expense between $470 - $500 million.

Positive Outlook

  • Agricultural fundamentals remain constructive with pressured stock-to-use ratios.
  • Growers are incentivized to maximize yields due to favorable economics.
  • A shift from El Nino to La Nina is expected to create a favorable backdrop in Southeast Asia, India, and Brazil.
  • Parts of the world have experienced under-application of fertilizers, leading to a need to replenish soil nutrients.
  • Low inventory and a favorable demand outlook in Brazil sets the stage for peak or near-peak fertilizer shipments in 2024.

Challenges Ahead

  • Global potash supply constraints are likely to abate with higher exports from Belarus and Russia.
  • Corn and soybean fundamentals and prices have softened recently.
  • Credit and liquidity challenges exist in Brazil.
  • Temporary resumption of China phosphate exports.
  • The Colonsay potash mine was curtailed in March and will remain idle until market conditions improve.

Revenue & Expenses

Visualization of income flow from segment revenue to net income