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Mar 31, 2020

Northern Oil and Gas Q1 2020 Earnings Report

Announced first quarter results and provided 2020 guidance.

Key Takeaways

Northern Oil and Gas reported a first quarter net income of $368.3 million, or $0.74 per diluted share, driven by a $345.1 million mark-to-market gain on unsettled commodity derivatives. Production increased 28% year-over-year, averaging 43,735 Boe per day, with oil production representing 79% of the total at 34,488 Bbls per day. The company also reduced its Senior Secured Notes by $90.2 million during the quarter and anticipates $175 to $200 million in total capital expenditures for 2020.

First quarter production increased 28% over the prior year, averaging 43,735 barrels of oil equivalent (“Boe”) per day

Cash flow from operations, excluding $7.1 million from changes in working capital, totaled $93.6 million, which was a 7% increase over the prior year and exceeded first quarter capital expenditures of $86.7 million

Senior Secured Notes reduced by $90.2 million in the first quarter; signed agreements to retire an additional $6.1 million subsequent to quarter-end

Over 27,000 barrels per day of remaining 2020 oil production hedged at over $58 per barrel (“Bbl”) average prices

Total Revenue
$130M
Previous year: $133M
-1.9%
EPS
$0.4
Previous year: $0.7
-42.9%
Production (Boe per day)
43.74K
Oil Production (Bbl per day)
34.49K
Adjusted EBITDA
$108M
Previous year: $105M
+3.1%
Gross Profit
$19.2M
Previous year: $50.4M
-62.0%
Cash and Equivalents
$8.51M
Previous year: $3.94M
+115.8%
Total Assets
$2.24B
Previous year: $1.4B
+60.3%

Northern Oil and Gas

Northern Oil and Gas

Northern Oil and Gas Revenue by Segment

Forward Guidance

Northern anticipates $350 to $410 million in Adjusted EBITDA for 2020 and expects $55 to $60 million of total book interest expense for 2020. Northern anticipates approximately $175 to $200 million in total capital expenditures for 2020.

Positive Outlook

  • Strong oil hedge position
  • Significant free cash flow in 2020 and 2021
  • $50 million of “reserve capital” for completions of its drilled but uncompleted inventory in the event of a substantial rise in commodity prices north of $40 WTI
  • Board of Directors has elected to defer payment of the dividends on its Perpetual Preferred Stock and any potential common stock dividends until oil returns to economic levels
  • This should save the Company approximately $15 million for 2020

Challenges Ahead

  • Rapid deterioration in oil prices during the COVID-19 pandemic
  • Operators continue to curtail and shut-in production in response to low wellhead prices
  • Plans are fluctuating and the timeframe for them is fluid
  • Overall levels of production
  • In-basin pricing differentials