Sep 30, 2020

Northern Oil and Gas Q3 2020 Earnings Report

Announced third quarter results with increased production and reduced costs.

Key Takeaways

Northern Oil and Gas announced strong third-quarter results, marked by a 22% increase in production from the second quarter and a 9% decrease in operating expenses. The company strategically reduced debt by $6.5 million during the quarter and an additional $21.0 million after the quarter ended, while generating significant free cash flow and capitalizing on high-return asset opportunities.

Third quarter production reached 29,051 Boe per day, exceeding guidance and up 22% from the second quarter.

Cash flow from operations was $69.0 million, excluding $12.6 million spent on net working capital reduction, a 30% increase from the second quarter.

Capital expenditures totaled $43.8 million in the third quarter.

Total debt was reduced by $6.5 million in the third quarter, with an additional $21.0 million reduction after the quarter, totaling $160.0 million year-to-date.

Total Revenue
$73.7M
Previous year: $158M
-53.4%
EPS
$0.51
Previous year: $0.9
-43.3%
Production (Boe per day)
29.05K
Oil Production (Bbl per day)
22.34K
Adjusted EBITDA
$82.7M
Gross Profit
$11.8M
Previous year: $54.7M
-78.4%
Cash and Equivalents
$1.8M
Previous year: $1.9M
-5.2%
Total Assets
$1.03B
Previous year: $1.9B
-46.1%

Northern Oil and Gas

Northern Oil and Gas

Forward Guidance

Northern is providing WTI price based capital spending and production guidance for 2021. In the base case with $40+ average WTI oil price for 2021, Northern expects total capital expenditures of $190 – $240 million and production of 37,500 – 42,500 Boe per day for 2021.

Positive Outlook

  • Total capital expenditures of $190 - $240 million
  • Production of 37,500 – 42,500 Boe per day for 2021
  • Bulk of wells will be turned to sales in the second quarter through the fourth quarter in 2021.
  • Significant portion of capital allocated would be for wells in process that would turn to sales in 2022 and beyond.
  • Expects to enter 2021 with nearly 9.0 net wells drilled and completed but delayed from being turned to sales.

Challenges Ahead

  • Assumes approximately 2,500-5,000 Boe per day of production is shut-in or curtailed for low prices if oil prices are greater than $35 but less than $40.
  • Anticipates additional curtailments if WTI prices average less than $35.
  • Limited new drilling if oil prices are greater than $35 but less than $40.
  • Minimal new drilling if WTI prices average less than $35.
  • Expects the first quarter of 2021 to be seasonally lower than the annual range due to winter weather restrictions for the completions of new wells.