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Dec 31, 2023
Northern Oil and Gas Q4 2023 Earnings Report
Northern Oil and Gas reported record oil and total volumes, generated record cash flow from operations, and saw leverage levels decline year over year.
Key Takeaways
Northern Oil and Gas announced strong Q4 2023 results, with increased oil and total volumes, record cash flow from operations, and reduced leverage. Production reached 114,363 Boe per day, a 45% increase year-over-year. The company also provided detailed 2024 guidance, projecting significant production growth and cash generation.
Production of 114,363 Boe per day (60.2% oil), a 45% increase from the fourth quarter of the prior year
GAAP cash flow from operations of $342.4 million, excluding changes in net working capital, cash flow from operations was $365.9 million, an increase of 56% from the fourth quarter of the prior year
Capital expenditures of $260.0 million, excluding previously-announced non-budgeted acquisitions and other items
Increased Free Cash Flow (non-GAAP) by 19% to $103.6 million from the fourth quarter of the prior year
Forward Guidance
NOG anticipates approximately 115,000 - 120,000 Boe per day of production in 2024, an increase of approximately 20% at the midpoint from 2023 levels. NOG currently expects total capital spending in the range of $825 - $900 million for 2024 with approximately 50% of its 2024 budget to be spent on the Permian, 35% on the Williston, and 1% on the Appalachian. The remainder of the budget is for Ground Game capital and increased workover and other items.
Positive Outlook
- Annual Production (Boe per day) 115,000 - 120,000
- Annual Oil Production (Bbls per day) 70,000 - 73,000
- Total Capital Expenditures ($ in millions) $825 - $900
- Net Wells Turned-in-Line 87.5 - 92.5
- Net Wells Spud 67.5 - 72.5
Challenges Ahead
- Production Expenses (per Boe) $9.25 - $10.00
- Production Taxes (as a percentage of Oil & Gas Sales) 9.0% - 10.0%
- Average Differential to NYMEX WTI (per Bbl) ($4.00) - ($4.50)
Historical Earnings Impact
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Avg. Return Before/After Earnings
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