Dec 31, 2019

Olin Q4 2019 Earnings Report

Olin reported a net loss and a decrease in sales compared to the same quarter last year, but Winchester segment earnings improved year-over-year.

Key Takeaways

Olin Corporation reported a net loss of $77.2 million for Q4 2019, a significant drop from the net income of $53.3 million in Q4 2018. Sales also decreased from $1,635.0 million to $1,387.1 million. Adjusted EBITDA was $173.2 million, excluding certain charges. The decrease in sales and earnings was primarily due to weaker demand and lower pricing in the Chlor Alkali Products and Vinyls and Epoxy businesses.

Olin reported a net loss of $77.2 million in Q4 2019, compared to a net income of $53.3 million in Q4 2018.

Sales decreased to $1,387.1 million from $1,635.0 million in the same quarter last year.

Adjusted EBITDA was $173.2 million, excluding depreciation, restructuring charges, and IT integration costs.

Winchester segment earnings improved year-over-year due to higher commercial sales.

Total Revenue
$1.39B
Previous year: $1.64B
-15.2%
EPS
-$0.08
Previous year: $0.32
-125.0%
Adjusted EBITDA
$173M
Gross Profit
$117M
Previous year: $244M
-52.3%
Cash and Equivalents
$221M
Previous year: $179M
+23.5%
Free Cash Flow
$86.9M
Previous year: $211M
-58.8%
Total Assets
$9.19B
Previous year: $9B
+2.1%

Olin

Olin

Olin Revenue by Segment

Forward Guidance

Olin expects to face a challenging pricing environment entering 2020 but anticipates cost containment and productivity initiatives to partially offset the pricing pressures. Several initiatives are expected to create long-term improvement in cash flow during 2020, including refinancing high-cost bonds, winding down the IT integration project, transitioning the vinyl chloride monomer contract, and the new Lake City ammunition facility contract.

Positive Outlook

  • Refinancing of high-cost bonds expected to reduce interest expense by $50 million to $70 million annually.
  • Winding down the IT integration project will reduce annual spending by approximately $110 million.
  • Vinyl chloride monomer contract transitioning to a direct customer sale agreement beginning January 1, 2021.
  • Lake City ammunition facility contract is expected to increase Winchester’s annual revenue by $450 million to $550 million.
  • Lake City ammunition facility contract is expected to improve annual adjusted EBITDA of $40 million to $50 million.

Challenges Ahead

  • Olin continues to face a challenging pricing environment as we enter 2020.
  • Caustic soda and ethylene dichloride pricing in January 2020 is expected to be approximately 15% lower than the average 2019 price.
  • The Chlor Alkali Products and Vinyls business experienced weaker demand from urethane, agricultural, refrigerant, alumina, and pulp and paper customers.
  • The Epoxy business also has faced weaker product demand from automotive, electrical laminate, and industrial coatings customers throughout 2019.
  • Lower demand environment put downward pressure on pricing in both chemical businesses.

Revenue & Expenses

Visualization of income flow from segment revenue to net income