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Dec 31, 2023

PCA Q4 2023 Earnings Report

PCA reported Q4 2023 results with net income of $189 million and EPS of $2.10.

Key Takeaways

Packaging Corporation of America reported fourth quarter net income of $189 million, or $2.10 per share. Excluding special items, net income was $192 million, or $2.13 per share. Net sales for the fourth quarter were $1.94 billion.

Packaging segment demand was stronger than expected.

Higher packaging volume, capital spending program benefits, and cost management drove lower operating costs.

Excellent restart of Wallula, WA mill's No. 3 machine to meet demand and build inventory.

Paper segment had very good results with volume slightly higher than expected and costs managed extremely well.

Total Revenue
$1.94B
Previous year: $1.98B
-2.0%
EPS
$2.13
Previous year: $2.35
-9.4%
Containerboard Production
1.21M
Previous year: 961K
+26.2%
Gross Profit
$410M
Previous year: $450M
-8.9%
Cash and Equivalents
$1.21B
Previous year: $470M
+156.5%
Free Cash Flow
$194M
Previous year: $173M
+12.3%
Total Assets
$1.21B
Previous year: $470M
+156.5%

PCA

PCA

PCA Revenue by Segment

Forward Guidance

PCA expects first quarter earnings of $1.54 per share.

Positive Outlook

  • Higher total corrugated products shipments expected from continued strong demand.
  • Two additional shipping days in the first quarter.
  • Prices and mix should be slightly higher with the implementation of announced January price increases.
  • Export prices expected to be fairly flat.
  • Improved mix to move prices slightly higher with flat sales volume in the Paper segment.

Challenges Ahead

  • Containerboard volume will be lower due to downtime associated with the conversion of the No. 3 machine at our Jackson Mill and a scheduled maintenance outage at our Counce, TN mill.
  • Recycled fiber and energy prices will be higher.
  • Above average, seasonally colder weather will negatively impact usages and yields for energy, wood and chemicals.
  • Higher operating costs associated with the restart of full operations at the Wallula mill compared to fourth quarter operations.
  • Scheduled outage expenses will be higher and will include the significant first quarter impact of the conversion outage at our Jackson Mill which is estimated to be ($.16) per share.

Revenue & Expenses

Visualization of income flow from segment revenue to net income