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Mar 31, 2021

Philip Morris Q1 2021 Earnings Report

Reported strong results driven by IQOS and revised full-year reported diluted EPS forecast.

Key Takeaways

Philip Morris International Inc. reported a strong start to the year with first-quarter results exceeding expectations, driven by the strength of IQOS. The company has raised its full-year outlook to reflect the positive momentum, anticipating organic adjusted diluted EPS growth of 11% to 13%.

Reported diluted EPS of $1.55, up by 32.5%; up by 23.9%, excluding currency.

Adjusted diluted EPS of $1.57, up by 29.8%; up by 21.5% on an organic basis.

Cigarette and heated tobacco unit shipment volume down by 3.7%, reflecting cigarette shipment volume down by 7.3%, and heated tobacco unit shipment volume up by 29.9% to 21.7 billion units.

Net revenues up by 6.0%; up by 2.9% on an organic basis, with smoke-free products accounting for 28.0% of total net revenues.

Total Revenue
$7.59B
Previous year: $7.15B
+6.0%
EPS
$1.57
Previous year: $1.21
+29.8%
Adj. Operating Income Margin
46%
Gross Profit
$5.31B
Previous year: $4.75B
+11.8%
Cash and Equivalents
$3.9B
Previous year: $3.7B
+5.5%
Free Cash Flow
$256M
Previous year: $941M
-72.8%
Total Assets
$39.8B
Previous year: $37.5B
+6.2%

Philip Morris

Philip Morris

Philip Morris Revenue by Geographic Location

Forward Guidance

PMI revises its full-year reported diluted EPS forecast to a range of $5.93 to $6.03, representing a projected increase of around 15% to 17% versus reported diluted EPS of $5.16 in 2020. On an organic basis, this forecast represents a projected increase of around 11% to 13% versus adjusted diluted EPS of $5.17 in 2020.

Positive Outlook

  • Better underlying business performance driven by the strength of IQOS, particularly in the EU Region and Japan.
  • A favorable currency impact, at prevailing exchange rates, of approximately $0.20 per share, compared to approximately $0.25 per share previously.
  • Strong organic net revenue growth, partly driven by a favorable comparison versus the second quarter of 2020.
  • Continued improvement in adjusted operating income margin on an organic basis.
  • The assumption that many of PMI's key markets will have largely emerged from pandemic-related restrictions.

Challenges Ahead

  • Asset impairment and exit costs of $0.02 per share resulting from product distribution restructuring in Korea and organizational design optimization.
  • Lack of near-term recovery in PMI's duty-free business given the uncertain outlook for global travel, with current dynamics persisting through year end.
  • A limited impact from the current global shortage of semiconductors on the supply of our electronic devices to consumers.
  • Incremental commercial investments, compared to the first half of 2021, of approximately $300 to $400 million.
  • Lower organic adjusted operating income margin expansion compared to the first half of 2021.

Revenue & Expenses

Visualization of income flow from segment revenue to net income