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Dec 31, 2022
Rayonier AM Q4 2022 Earnings Report
Rayonier AM announced solid Q4 2022 earnings results in line with guidance and improving outlook for 2023.
Key Takeaways
Rayonier Advanced Materials reported net sales of $500 million for the fourth quarter, up 34 percent from the prior year quarter. Income from continuing operations for the quarter was $4 million, up 114 percent from the prior year quarter. Adjusted EBITDA from continuing operations for the quarter was $55 million, up 104 percent from the prior year quarter.
Net sales for the fourth quarter of $500 million, up $126 million, or 34 percent, from prior year quarter
Income from continuing operations for the fourth quarter of $4 million, up $32 million, or 114 percent, from prior year quarter.
Adjusted EBITDA from continuing operations for the fourth quarter of $55 million, up $28 million, or 104 percent, from prior year quarter.
2023 Adjusted EBITDA guidance of $200 million to $215 million expected to drive $30 million to $60 million of Adjusted Free Cash Flow
Rayonier AM
Rayonier AM
Rayonier AM Revenue by Segment
Revenue by Segment
Paperboard Revenue
CapyFin.comHigh-Yield Pulp Revenue
CapyFin.com Forward Guidance
Overall, income (loss) from continuing operations is expected to be between $(8) million and $12 million, with Adjusted EBITDA between $200 million and $215 million for 2023. The Company expects to spend approximately $110 million of custodial capital expenditures, including $15 million to $20 million of catch-up maintenance capital, and discretionary strategic capital expenditures of approximately $30 million to $35 million, net of financing. Strategic capital may be modulated as necessary to support Adjusted Free Cash Flow. Overall, the Company expects to generate $30 million to $60 million of Adjusted Free Cash Flow in 2023.
Positive Outlook
- Paperboard prices for 2023 are expected to continue to increase from 2022 levels, driven by strong demand in both the packaging and commercial printing end markets.
- Sales volumes are expected to increase slightly, driven by improved logistics, while raw material prices reduce as pulp markets decline.
- The reopening of the Chinese economy may provide catalyst for more stable pricing.
- Sales volumes are expected to improve slightly in 2023, primarily due to improved productivity and logistics.
- Average sales prices for cellulose specialties in 2023 are expected to be high single-digit percent higher than average 2022 sales prices.
Challenges Ahead
- Commodity sales prices are expected to decline versus 2022 levels, in line with industry forecasts for fluff and viscose cellulose pricing.
- Fluff market demand remains resilient but at lower prices than fourth quarter levels.
- Viscose markets started the year soft
- Raw material prices are expected to remain elevated, offset by benefits expected from prior strategic capital investments.
- High-yield pulp markets have declined as global economic demand slows, impacting sales price.
Revenue & Expenses
Visualization of income flow from segment revenue to net income