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Dec 31, 2019

Molson Coors Q4 2019 Earnings Report

Molson Coors reported an increase in net sales and net income for Q4 2019.

Key Takeaways

Molson Coors Beverage Company reported a 2.8% increase in net sales and a 115.4% increase in net income for the fourth quarter of 2019. The company's underlying EPS increased by 21.4% to $1.02, and underlying EBITDA increased by 15.8% to $563.1 million.

Net sales increased by 2.8% due to net sales per hectoliter growth and higher financial volume.

U.S. GAAP net income attributable to MCBC increased by $87.7 million.

Underlying net income increased 21.5% driven by the same factors as U.S. GAAP net income with the exception of restructuring charges and one-time pension and postretirement costs.

Underlying EBITDA increased 15.8% on a constant currency basis, largely driven by the same factors as underlying net income.

Total Revenue
$2.49B
Previous year: $2.42B
+2.8%
EPS
$1.02
Previous year: $0.84
+21.4%
Total Financial Volume
21.77M

Molson Coors

Molson Coors

Molson Coors Revenue by Segment

Molson Coors Revenue by Geographic Location

Forward Guidance

Molson Coors expects a flat to low-single digit decrease in net sales revenue on a constant currency basis for full year 2020. Underlying EBITDA is expected to decrease high-single digit from the full year 2019 underlying EBITDA of $2.364 billion, on a constant currency basis. Underlying free cash flow is projected at $1.1 billion, plus or minus 10%.

Positive Outlook

  • The company intends to maintain its investment grade rating.
  • The company plans to maintain a dividend payout-ratio target in the range of 20%-25% of trailing annual underlying EBITDA.
  • Cost savings are expected to be approximately $600 million for the 2020 to 2022 program which includes the cost savings associated with the revitalization program.
  • Underlying depreciation and amortization: approximately $850 million.
  • Consolidated net interest expense: approximately $280 million, plus or minus 5%.

Challenges Ahead

  • Net Sales Revenue: flat to low-single digit decrease on a constant currency basis.
  • Underlying EBITDA: high-single digit decrease from the full year 2019 underlying EBITDA of $2.364 billion, on a constant currency basis.
  • Underlying free cash flow: $1.1 billion, plus or minus 10%.
  • Capital spending: approximately $700 million, plus or minus 10%.
  • Underlying effective tax rate in the range of 20% to 24% for 2020 and beyond, which remains subject to additional definitive guidance and finalized regulations from the U.S. government regarding the implementation of the tax reform legislation from 2017.