Sep 30, 2021

Vistra Q3 2021 Earnings Report

Vistra's financial performance remained strong, with net income and adjusted EBITDA from ongoing operations reported, and long-term capital allocation plans announced.

Key Takeaways

Vistra reported a net income of $10 million and net income from ongoing operations of $16 million for the third quarter of 2021. The ongoing operations adjusted EBITDA was $1,177 million. The company announced plans to return at least $7.5 billion to common stockholders through year-end 2026.

Net Income was $10 million and Net Income from Ongoing Operations was $16 million.

Ongoing Operations Adjusted EBITDA was $1,177 million.

The company announced a $2 billion share repurchase program.

Vistra expects to commit $300 million annually toward its common dividend program.

Total Revenue
$2.99B
Previous year: $3.55B
-15.8%
EPS
$0.01
Previous year: $1.03
-99.0%
Ongoing Ops Net Income
$16M
Previous year: $502M
-96.8%
Ongoing Ops Adj. EBITDA
$1.18B
Previous year: $1.19B
-0.7%
Gross Profit
$856M
Previous year: $1.63B
-47.4%
Cash and Equivalents
$351M
Previous year: $500M
-29.8%
Free Cash Flow
$320M
Previous year: $791M
-59.5%
Total Assets
$29.9B
Previous year: $25.5B
+17.4%

Vistra

Vistra

Vistra Revenue by Segment

Forward Guidance

Vistra raised and narrowed its 2021 Ongoing Operations Adjusted EBITDA guidance range to $1,890 to $2,090 million and revised and narrowed its 2021 Ongoing Operations Adjusted FCFbG guidance range to $100 to $300 million. Vistra is initiating its 2022 Ongoing Operations guidance ranges, forecasting Ongoing Operations Adjusted EBITDA of $2,810 to $3,310 million and Ongoing Operations Adjusted FCFbG of $2,070 to $2,570 million.

Positive Outlook

  • Vistra is raising and narrowing its 2021 Ongoing Operations Adjusted EBITDA1 guidance range to $1,890 to $2,090 million.
  • Vistra is revising and narrowing its 2021 Ongoing Operations Adjusted FCFbG1 guidance range to $100 to $300 million.
  • Vistra is initiating its 2022 Ongoing Operations guidance ranges, forecasting Ongoing Operations Adjusted EBITDA1 of $2,810 to $3,310 million.
  • Vistra is forecasting Ongoing Operations Adjusted FCFbG1 of $2,070 to $2,570 million.
  • Vistra's 2022 guidance ranges include the negative impact of ~$185 million from bill credits applied to large commercial and industrial customers that curtailed during Uri and the negative impact of ~$55 million from the execution of NPV-positive, long-dated contracts with retail customers.

Challenges Ahead

  • Vistra's 2022 guidance ranges include the negative impact of ~$185 million from bill credits applied to large commercial and industrial customers that curtailed during Uri.
  • Vistra's 2022 guidance ranges include the negative impact of ~$55 million from the execution of NPV-positive, long-dated contracts with retail customers.
  • The Ongoing Operations Adjusted EBITDA guidance range includes ~$500 million6 from ERCOT’s securitization of certain Uri-related costs borne by load-serving entities, which partially offsets the retail portion of the greater than $2 billion financial loss Vistra recorded in the first quarter of 2021.
  • The cash impact of the securitization is reflected in Vistra’s 2022 Adjusted FCFbG guidance range, which is the year in which the company expects to receive the cash proceeds.
  • The inclusion of the securitization proceeds in Ongoing Operations Adjusted EBITDA guidance is a non-GAAP determination at this time, reflecting management’s view of the financial impact of securitization on operating results, which offsets a portion of the Uri-related retail costs incurred during the first quarter of 2021, and the representative period for which the proceeds relate.

Revenue & Expenses

Visualization of income flow from segment revenue to net income