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Sep 30, 2020

Axon Q3 2020 Earnings Report

Axon's Q3 2020 earnings were marked by a 27% revenue increase, ARR exceeding $200 million, and a 56% surge in total bookings.

Key Takeaways

Axon reported a strong Q3 2020, with revenue growth of 27% year-over-year. Annual recurring revenue (ARR) topped $200 million, and total bookings increased by 56% year-over-year. The company is on track to exceed its original 2020 financial targets.

Revenue grew by 27% year over year.

ARR topped $200 million with 44% growth.

Total bookings increased by 56% year over year.

Federal bookings increased 400% year over year, driven by targeted investments in the US federal law enforcement channel.

Total Revenue
$166M
Previous year: $131M
+27.2%
EPS
$0.4
Previous year: $0.28
+42.9%
Annual Recurring Revenue
$204M
Previous year: $142M
+44.0%
Future Contracted Revenue
$1.51B
Gross Profit
$98.2M
Previous year: $80.2M
+22.5%
Cash and Equivalents
$176M
Previous year: $203M
-13.1%
Free Cash Flow
-$47.3M
Previous year: $18.2M
-360.2%
Total Assets
$1.28B
Previous year: $792M
+61.4%

Axon

Axon

Axon Revenue by Segment

Forward Guidance

Axon provided revenue and Adjusted EBITDA guidance for Q4 2020 and initial revenue and Adjusted EBITDA guidance for 2021.

Positive Outlook

  • Tracking to Q4 2020 revenue of $175 million to $185 million, implying full-year revenue of $630 million to $640 million.
  • Expect fourth quarter gross margins in line with the third quarter.
  • Expect to achieve Adjusted EBITDA in Q4 2020 of $30 million to $35 million, implying full-year Adjusted EBITDA of about $122 million to $127 million.
  • Initial view of the business in 2021 includes $720 million to $750 million in revenue.
  • Initial view of the business in 2021 includes $120 million to $130 million in Adjusted EBITDA.

Challenges Ahead

  • The impact of COVID-19 remains fluid, which could bring renewed caution from police departments on budgeting.
  • Stock-based compensation expense to be at least $107 million for the full year.
  • Difficult to forecast future stock-based compensation expense.
  • Reductions in economic activity could bring renewed caution from police departments on budgeting.
  • Potential global impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic.

Revenue & Expenses

Visualization of income flow from segment revenue to net income