•
Dec 31, 2023

Medpace Q4 2023 Earnings Report

Medpace reported an increase in revenue and net new business awards for Q4 2023.

Key Takeaways

Medpace Holdings, Inc. reported a strong fourth quarter in 2023, with a 26.5% increase in revenue to $498.4 million and a 26.7% increase in net new business awards to $614.7 million. GAAP net income increased to $78.3 million, or $2.46 per diluted share. The company's backlog as of December 31, 2023, was $2,813.0 million, representing a 20.2% increase.

Revenue for Q4 2023 increased by 26.5% to $498.4 million compared to the prior year.

Net new business awards in Q4 2023 were $614.7 million, a 26.7% increase year-over-year, resulting in a net book-to-bill ratio of 1.23x.

GAAP net income for Q4 2023 was $78.3 million, or $2.46 per diluted share, compared to $68.7 million, or $2.12 per diluted share, in the prior year.

EBITDA for Q4 2023 increased by 19.2% to $95.8 million, representing 19.2% of revenue.

Total Revenue
$498M
Previous year: $394M
+26.5%
EPS
$2.46
Previous year: $2.12
+16.0%
Net New Business Awards
$615M
Previous year: $485M
+26.7%
Backlog
$2.81B
Previous year: $2.34B
+20.2%
Gross Profit
$137M
Previous year: $116M
+18.2%
Cash and Equivalents
$245M
Previous year: $28.3M
+768.4%
Free Cash Flow
$146M
Previous year: $127M
+14.9%
Total Assets
$1.66B
Previous year: $1.35B
+22.5%

Medpace

Medpace

Forward Guidance

The Company forecasts 2024 revenue in the range of $2.150 billion to $2.200 billion, representing growth of 14.0% to 16.7% over 2023 revenue of $1.886 billion. GAAP net income for full year 2024 is forecasted in the range of $326.0 million to $348.0 million. Additionally, full year 2024 EBITDA is expected in the range of $400.0 million to $430.0 million. Based on forecasted 2024 revenue of $2.150 billion to $2.200 billion and GAAP net income of $326.0 million to $348.0 million, diluted earnings per share (GAAP) is forecasted in the range of $10.18 to $10.87.

Positive Outlook

  • Revenue growth of 14.0% to 16.7% is expected over 2023 revenue.
  • Full year 2024 revenue is forecasted in the range of $2.150 billion to $2.200 billion.
  • GAAP net income for full year 2024 is forecasted in the range of $326.0 million to $348.0 million.
  • Full year 2024 EBITDA is expected in the range of $400.0 million to $430.0 million.
  • Diluted earnings per share (GAAP) is forecasted in the range of $10.18 to $10.87.

Challenges Ahead

  • Guidance assumes a full year 2024 tax rate of 16.0% to 17.0%.
  • Guidance assumes interest income of $18.4 million.
  • Guidance assumes 32.0 million diluted shares outstanding.
  • Guidance does not include the potential impact of any share repurchases the Company may make pursuant to the share repurchase program after December 31, 2023.
  • Unfavorable economic conditions, including conditions caused by the uncertain international economic environment and current and future international conflicts