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Jun 30
GEO Q2 2025 Earnings Report
GEO reported a return to profitability in Q2 with strong revenue growth and announced a major share repurchase program.
Key Takeaways
The GEO Group posted solid results for Q2 2025, returning to profitability with $29.1M in net income and strong revenue growth driven by new ICE contracts. The company also announced a $300M share repurchase program and highlighted a substantial decline in debt extinguishment costs.
Reported net income of $29.1 million, reversing a $32.5 million loss from Q2 2024
Revenue rose to $636.2 million from $607.2 million in Q2 2024
Adjusted EBITDA held steady at $118.6 million
Announced a $300 million share repurchase program to enhance shareholder value
GEO
GEO
GEO Revenue by Geographic Location
Revenue by Geographic Location
United States Revenue
CapyFin.com Forward Guidance
GEO expects Q3 2025 revenues between $650M and $660M with adjusted EPS of $0.20 to $0.23, and continued growth into Q4.
Positive Outlook
- Q3 revenue projected between $650M and $660M
- Q4 revenue projected between $658M and $673M
- Full-year Adjusted EBITDA projected between $465M and $490M
- Multiple ICE contracts ramping up expected to boost revenue
- $228M gain recognized from asset sale in FY2025
Challenges Ahead
- Adjusted EBITDA guidance down YoY
- Full-year adjusted EPS guided at $0.84–$0.94, below FY2024
- Increased capital expenditures between $200M and $210M
- Loss of revenue from depopulated Lea County Facility
- Pressure from higher G&A and restructuring costs