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Jun 30, 2025
GEO Q2 2025 Earnings Report
GEO reported a return to profitability in Q2 with strong revenue growth and announced a major share repurchase program.
Key Takeaways
The GEO Group posted solid results for Q2 2025, returning to profitability with $29.1M in net income and strong revenue growth driven by new ICE contracts. The company also announced a $300M share repurchase program and highlighted a substantial decline in debt extinguishment costs.
Reported net income of $29.1 million, reversing a $32.5 million loss from Q2 2024
Revenue rose to $636.2 million from $607.2 million in Q2 2024
Adjusted EBITDA held steady at $118.6 million
Announced a $300 million share repurchase program to enhance shareholder value
Revenue by Geographic Location
Forward Guidance
GEO expects Q3 2025 revenues between $650M and $660M with adjusted EPS of $0.20 to $0.23, and continued growth into Q4.
Positive Outlook
- Q3 revenue projected between $650M and $660M
- Q4 revenue projected between $658M and $673M
- Full-year Adjusted EBITDA projected between $465M and $490M
- Multiple ICE contracts ramping up expected to boost revenue
- $228M gain recognized from asset sale in FY2025
Challenges Ahead
- Adjusted EBITDA guidance down YoY
- Full-year adjusted EPS guided at $0.84–$0.94, below FY2024
- Increased capital expenditures between $200M and $210M
- Loss of revenue from depopulated Lea County Facility
- Pressure from higher G&A and restructuring costs
Historical Earnings Impact
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Avg. Return Before/After Earnings
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