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Dec 31, 2025
GEO Q4 2025 Earnings Report
GEO reported higher revenues, earnings, and Adjusted EBITDA in Q4 2025, supported by strong operational performance and new contract wins.
Key Takeaways
GEO generated 707695000 in revenue in Q4 2025, with net income attributable to GEO operations of 31766000 and diluted EPS of 0.23. Adjusted EBITDA increased to 125962000, reflecting improved operating performance compared to the prior year.
Total revenue increased to 707695000 from 607720000 in Q4 2024.
Net income attributable to GEO operations rose to 31766000 with diluted EPS of 0.23.
Adjusted EBITDA grew to 125962000 compared to 107959000 in the prior year quarter.
The company repurchased approximately 2970000 shares for 49000000 during the quarter.
Forward Guidance
For 2026, GEO expects GAAP net income per diluted share between 0.99 and 1.07 and Adjusted EBITDA between 490000000 and 510000000, supported by organic growth and contract activations.
Positive Outlook
- Expected 2026 revenue between 2900000000 and 3100000000.
- Projected Adjusted EBITDA range of 490000000 to 510000000.
- Organic growth opportunities from idle bed capacity.
- Expansion of electronic monitoring and transportation services.
- Increased revolving credit facility to 550000000.
Challenges Ahead
- Higher payroll tax expenses in Q1 2026.
- Front-loaded start-up expenses in 2026.
- Exposure to changes in federal immigration policy.
- Potential impacts from legal proceedings including the Nwauzor case.
Historical Earnings Impact
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Avg. Return Before/After Earnings
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