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Jan 31, 2023

Casey's Q3 2023 Earnings Report

Casey's delivered a stellar quarter with increased inside gross profit and efficient operating expense management.

Key Takeaways

Casey's General Stores reported a strong third quarter with diluted EPS up 56% to $2.67, benefiting from a one-time operating expense reduction. Inside same-store sales increased by 5.6%, driven by grocery and general merchandise, while same-store fuel gallons decreased slightly by 0.5%. The company is modifying its fiscal 2023 outlook, expecting same-store inside sales growth of approximately 6% to 7% and same-store fuel gallons to be down 1% to up 1%.

Diluted EPS increased by 56% to $2.67, including a $0.31 benefit from a one-time operating expense reduction.

Inside same-store sales grew by 5.6%, with a margin of 40.6%, and total inside gross profit increased by 11.6% to $450.6 million.

Same-store fuel gallons decreased by 0.5%, but fuel margin was 40.7 cents per gallon, leading to a 10.4% increase in total fuel gross profit to $262.6 million.

The company is modifying its fiscal 2023 outlook, projecting same-store inside sales growth of approximately 6% to 7% and same-store fuel gallons to be down 1% to up 1%.

Total Revenue
$3.33B
Previous year: $3.05B
+9.3%
EPS
$2.36
Previous year: $1.71
+38.0%
Fuel margin (ex-CC fees)
$40.7
Previous year: $38.3
+6.3%
Grocery SSS
5.8%
Previous year: 7.7%
-24.7%
Prepared Food SSS
5%
Previous year: 7.4%
-32.4%
Gross Profit
$737M
Previous year: $664M
+11.0%
Cash and Equivalents
$413M
Previous year: $187M
+121.1%
Free Cash Flow
$26.5M
Previous year: -$23.5M
-212.7%
Total Assets
$5.84B
Previous year: $5.4B
+8.1%

Casey's

Casey's

Casey's Revenue by Segment

Forward Guidance

Casey's is modifying its fiscal 2023 outlook. The Company now expects same-store inside sales growth to be approximately 6% to 7%. The Company now expects same-store fuel gallons to be down 1% to up 1%.

Positive Outlook

  • Same-store inside sales growth is expected to be approximately 6% to 7%.
  • The Company expects to add approximately 80 stores in fiscal 2023, and expects to exceed our stated three year commitment of 345 units.
  • Inside margin is expected to be approximately 40%.
  • Interest expense is expected to be approximately $55 million.
  • The tax rate is expected to be between approximately 24% and 25% for the year.

Challenges Ahead

  • Same-store fuel gallons to be down 1% to up 1%.
  • Total operating expense increase, excluding the one-time benefit received this quarter, is expected to be near the low end of the annual range of approximately 9% to 10%.
  • Depreciation and amortization is expected to be approximately $320 million
  • The purchase of property plant and equipment is expected to be approximately $450 to $500 million, including approximately $135 million in one-time store remodel costs for recently acquired stores.
  • There are a number of known and unknown risks, uncertainties, and other factors that may cause our actual results to differ materially from any results expressed or implied by these forward-looking statements

Revenue & Expenses

Visualization of income flow from segment revenue to net income