United Airlines Q3 2021 Earnings Report
Key Takeaways
United Airlines reported a net income of $0.5 billion for the third quarter of 2021, despite the impact of the COVID-19 Delta variant. The company remains on track to achieve its longer-term financial targets and reduce CASM-ex below 2019 levels next year. United plans to increase international capacity by 10% in 2022 while keeping domestic capacity flat to 2019.
Airline remains on track to reduce CASM-ex next year below 2019 levels
Approximately $2.2 billion in structural cost reductions and returning aircraft to service will fuel strong CASM-ex performance in 2022 and beyond
Returning business travelers and re-opening European borders are opportunities United is well positioned to capitalize on
Continuing improvements and reliability leads to all-time record Net Promoter Score year-to-date; a nearly 12% increase
United Airlines
United Airlines
United Airlines Revenue by Segment
United Airlines Revenue by Geographic Location
Forward Guidance
United expects fourth quarter 2021 capacity to be down approximately 23% versus fourth quarter 2019 and total revenue to be down 25% to 30% versus the fourth quarter 2019. The company estimates fourth quarter 2021 fuel price of approximately $2.39 per gallon and continues to expect 2022 CASM-ex to be lower than 2019.
Positive Outlook
- Continues to expect 2022 CASM-ex1 to be lower than 2019.
- Expects 2022 capacity to be up approximately 5% versus 2019 driven by international growth.
- Expects adjusted capital expenditures2 to be around $3 billion in full year 2021.
- Expects adjusted diluted earnings per share2 in 2026 of around $20 assuming the same number of diluted shares outstanding as of September 30, 2021.
- Remains on track to achieve long term financial targets from United Next plan.
Challenges Ahead
- Expects fourth quarter 2021 capacity to be down approximately 23% versus fourth quarter 2019.
- Expects fourth quarter 2021 total revenue to be down 25% to 30% versus the fourth quarter 2019.
- Expects fourth quarter 2021 CASM-ex1 to be up 12% to 14% compared to fourth quarter 2019.
- Estimates fourth quarter 2021 fuel price of approximately $2.39 per gallon.
- United Next assumes 2026 TRASM remains down around 1% versus 2019.
Revenue & Expenses
Visualization of income flow from segment revenue to net income