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Mar 31, 2023
AES Q1 2023 Earnings Report
Reported positive momentum in the first quarter and reaffirmed 2023 guidance, introducing new strategic business units.
Key Takeaways
AES Corporation reported a positive start to 2023, with financial results putting the company on track to meet its 2023 guidance and longer-term growth rates. Strategic accomplishments included the settlement agreement of AES Ohio's rate case and the termination of Warrior Run's thermal PPA.
On track to complete 2023 construction projects of more than 3 GW of renewables
AES Ohio signed a comprehensive settlement for its Electric Security Plan (ESP4), providing the regulatory foundation necessary to drive future growth
Announced next decarbonization milestone with the agreement to terminate the PPA for the 205 MW Warrior Run coal plant in Maryland, for a total payments of $357 million
Signed agreements to extend the operation of 1.4 GW of gas generation at the Southland legacy units in Southern California for three more years
Forward Guidance
The Company is reaffirming its 7% to 9% annualized growth rate target through 2025, from a base year of 2020. The Company is reaffirming its 2023 guidance for Adjusted EPS of $1.65 to $1.75. Growth in 2023 is expected to be primarily driven by 3.4 GW of new renewables expected to come online.
Positive Outlook
- Growth in 2023 is expected to be primarily driven by 3.4 GW of new renewables expected to come online.
Challenges Ahead
- Lower margins from the Company's LNG business, due to normalization of LNG prices and the roll-off of a gas supply contract.
- Lower contract margins in Chile.
- Higher interest expense in Colombia.
- Impact of 0.6 GW of new renewables likely coming online in 2024, instead of 2023.
Historical Earnings Impact
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Avg. Return Before/After Earnings
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