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Mar 31, 2021
Moody's Q1 2021 Earnings Report
Moody's demonstrated increased demand for its risk assessment solutions and insights, driven by strong execution and robust activity.
Key Takeaways
Moody's Corporation reported a strong first quarter in 2021, with revenue up 24% year-over-year to $1.6 billion and diluted EPS up 52% to $3.90. The company is increasing its revenue outlook to high-single-digit percent growth, and raising and narrowing its full year 2021 adjusted diluted EPS guidance range to $11.00 to $11.30.
Moody's Corporation's 1Q 2021 revenue reached $1.6 billion, a 24% increase from 1Q 2020.
Moody's Investors Service (MIS) revenue grew by 30% to $1.0 billion.
Moody’s Analytics (MA) revenue increased by 14% to $564 million.
Diluted EPS for 1Q 2021 was $3.90, a 52% increase from 1Q 2020, while adjusted diluted EPS was $4.06, up by 49%.
Revenue by Segment
Revenue by Geographic Location
Forward Guidance
Moody's updated outlook for 2021 reflects numerous assumptions about factors that could affect its business, including the impact of COVID-19, government and regulator responses, and effects on interest rates, foreign currency exchange rates, and capital markets activity.
Positive Outlook
- Full year 2021 U.S. and Euro area GDPs expanding approximately 6% - 7% and 3.5% - 4.5%, respectively
- U.S. high yield interest rate spreads below an average of approximately 450 bps
- U.S. unemployment to decline to approximately 5% - 6%
- The global high yield default rate falling to a range of 3% - 4% by the end of 2021
- Full year 2021 guidance includes share repurchases of approximately $1.5 billion
Challenges Ahead
- MIS's full year global rated issuance decreases in the low-single-digit percent range.
- The duration and severity of the COVID-19 crisis are unknown.
- The implications of COVID-19 or other situations or developments could affect these and many other factors that also could cause actual results to differ materially from Moody’s outlook.
Revenue & Expenses
Visualization of income flow from segment revenue to net income
Historical Earnings Impact
Analyze how earnings announcements historically affect stock price performance
Avg. Return Before/After Earnings
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