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Dec 31, 2020

Moody's Q4 2020 Earnings Report

Moody's reported a revenue increase and a decrease in EPS for Q4 2020.

Key Takeaways

Moody's Corporation reported a 5% increase in revenue to $1.3 billion for Q4 2020. Diluted EPS decreased by 12% to $1.66, while adjusted diluted EPS decreased by 5% to $1.91. The company provided its outlook for full year 2021, projecting diluted EPS of $9.70 to $10.10 and adjusted diluted EPS of $10.30 to $10.70.

Q4 2020 revenue increased by 5% year-over-year to $1.3 billion.

Q4 2020 diluted EPS decreased by 12% year-over-year to $1.66.

Q4 2020 adjusted diluted EPS decreased by 5% year-over-year to $1.91.

The company projects 2021 revenue growth in the mid-single-digit percent range.

Total Revenue
$1.29B
Previous year: $1.23B
+4.6%
EPS
$1.91
Previous year: $2
-4.5%
Operating Margin
34.4%
Previous year: 40.9%
-15.9%
Adjusted Operating Margin
41.2%
Previous year: 45.3%
-9.1%
Gross Profit
$881M
Previous year: $878M
+0.3%
Cash and Equivalents
$2.6B
Previous year: $1.83B
+41.8%
Free Cash Flow
$638M
Previous year: $471M
+35.3%
Total Assets
$12.4B
Previous year: $10.3B
+20.9%

Moody's

Moody's

Moody's Revenue by Segment

Forward Guidance

Moody's provided its outlook for full year 2021. The company expects revenue to increase in the mid-single-digit percent range. Diluted EPS is expected to be $9.70 to $10.10 and adjusted diluted EPS is expected to be $10.30 to $10.70.

Positive Outlook

  • Revenue increase in the mid-single-digit percent range
  • Operating expenses increase in the mid-single-digit percent range
  • Operating margin approximately 45%
  • Adjusted operating margin 49% - 50%
  • Diluted EPS $9.70 to $10.10

Challenges Ahead

  • MIS global revenue approximately flat
  • Share repurchases approximately $1.5 billion (subject to available cash, market conditions and other ongoing capital allocation decisions)
  • MIS adjusted operating margin approximately 60%
  • MA global revenue increase in the low-double-digit percent range
  • MA adjusted operating margin approximately 30%

Revenue & Expenses

Visualization of income flow from segment revenue to net income