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Sep 30, 2023

Chipotle Q3 2023 Earnings Report

Chipotle's Q3 2023 earnings increased driven by comparable sales growth and margin expansion.

Key Takeaways

Chipotle Mexican Grill reported an 11.3% increase in total revenue to $2.5 billion, driven by new restaurant openings and a 5.0% increase in comparable restaurant sales. Diluted earnings per share increased by 23.0% to $11.32, and adjusted diluted earnings per share increased by 19.5% to $11.36.

Total revenue increased 11.3% to $2.5 billion.

Comparable restaurant sales increased 5.0%.

Operating margin was 16.0%, an increase from 15.1%.

Diluted earnings per share was $11.32, a 23.0% increase from $9.20.

Total Revenue
$2.47B
Previous year: $2.22B
+11.4%
EPS
$0.23
Previous year: $0.19
+21.1%
Comparable Sales Increase
5%
Previous year: 7.6%
-34.2%
Net Restaurant Openings
62
Previous year: 43
+44.2%
Gross Profit
$650M
Previous year: $563M
+15.5%
Cash and Equivalents
$602M
Previous year: $367M
+64.3%
Free Cash Flow
$349M
Previous year: $213M
+64.1%
Total Assets
$7.91B
Previous year: $6.82B
+16.0%

Chipotle

Chipotle

Forward Guidance

Chipotle anticipates fourth quarter and full year comparable restaurant sales growth in the mid to high-single digit range and expects 255 to 285 new restaurant openings.

Positive Outlook

  • Fourth quarter and full year comparable restaurant sales growth in the mid to high-single digit range
  • 255 to 285 new restaurant openings (including 10 to 15 relocations to add a Chipotlane)
  • Assumes utility, construction, permit and inspection delays do not worsen
  • Estimated underlying effective full year tax rate between 25% and 27% before discrete items
  • 285 to 315 new restaurant openings in 2024

Challenges Ahead

  • Increasing wage inflation and the competitive labor market
  • Impact of any union organizing efforts
  • Increasing supply costs (including beef, tortillas, queso, salsa, beans and rice)
  • Risks of food safety incidents and food-borne illnesses
  • Privacy and cyber security risks