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Sep 30, 2024

Northern Oil and Gas Q3 2024 Earnings Report

Achieved record oil production and generated strong free cash flow despite limited completion activity and weaker commodity prices.

Key Takeaways

Northern Oil and Gas reported strong Q3 2024 results, achieving record oil production of 70,913 Bbl per day and free cash flow of $177.1 million. The company closed the Point transaction on time and the XCL acquisition on October 1st, expanding its asset base. Financial performance included a GAAP net income of $298.4 million and adjusted EBITDA of $412.4 million, reflecting a 7% increase year-over-year.

Production of 121,815 Boe per day (58% oil), up 19% from the third quarter of 2023

Record oil volumes of 70,913 Bbl per day, despite only 9.5 net turn-in-lines during the quarter

GAAP net income of $298.4 million, Adjusted Net Income of $141.1 million and Adjusted EBITDA of $412.4 million

Generated record $177.1 million of Free Cash Flow, up 32% from the second quarter of 2024

Total Revenue
$515M
Previous year: $514M
+0.4%
EPS
$1.4
Previous year: $1.73
-19.1%
Production (Boe per day)
121.82K
Previous year: 102.33K
+19.0%
Oil Production (Bbl per day)
70.91K
Previous year: 63.56K
+11.6%
Adjusted EBITDA
$412M
Previous year: $386M
+7.0%
Gross Profit
$208M
Previous year: $55.5M
+275.1%
Cash and Equivalents
$34.4M
Previous year: $13M
+165.3%
Free Cash Flow
$177M
Previous year: $128M
+38.6%
Total Assets
$5.06B
Previous year: $4.3B
+17.4%

Northern Oil and Gas

Northern Oil and Gas

Forward Guidance

NOG is reiterating capital expenditure and production guidance and adjusting certain line items. Production taxes are being adjusted to reflect current expectations for the remainder of the year. Natural gas realizations and oil differentials are being adjusted to reflect results experienced year-to-date. Per unit cash G&A is being lowered as the Company has reduced certain external expenses and continues to benefit from increasing production volumes.

Positive Outlook

  • Annual Production (Boe per day) 120,000 - 124,000
  • Annual Oil Production (Bbls per day) 73,000 - 76,000
  • Total Capital Expenditures ($ in millions) $890 - $970
  • Net Wells Turned-in-Line (“TIL”) 93.0 - 98.0
  • Net Wells Spud 73.0 - 78.0

Challenges Ahead

  • Production Expenses (per Boe) $9.15 - $9.40
  • Production Taxes (as a percentage of Oil & Gas Sales) 8.5% - 9.0%
  • Average Differential to NYMEX WTI (per Bbl) ($4.00) - ($4.50)
  • Average Realization as a Percentage of NYMEX Henry Hub (per Mcf) 90.0% - 95.0%
  • DD&A Rate (per Boe) $16.50 - $17.50