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Jun 30, 2024
Ramaco Q2 2024 Earnings Report
Ramaco Resources' second quarter results exceeded the first quarter both operationally and financially, despite lower pricing indices, with record production and declining cash costs.
Key Takeaways
Ramaco Resources reported a net income of $5.5 million and adjusted EBITDA of $28.8 million for Q2 2024. Production increased by 7% to 901,000 tons. Non-GAAP cash cost per ton sold decreased to $108. The company reduced its production and sales guidance by 0.2 million tons at the midpoint due to proactively reducing higher cost production.
Adjusted EBITDA grew 19% and net income grew 173% versus the first quarter of 2024.
Non-GAAP cash cost per ton sold declined quarterly by $10 per ton to $108 per ton, as production increased by 7% to more than 900,000 tons sequentially.
Total 2024 sales commitments are 4.0 million tons which equates to more than 100% of the low-end of 2024 production guidance.
The Company anticipates third quarter coal shipments of 900,000 – 1,050,000 tons and expects to exit the year above a 5 million ton per annum run-rate on both sales and production.
Ramaco
Ramaco
Forward Guidance
Ramaco Resources anticipates third quarter coal shipments of 900,000 – 1,050,000 tons and expects to exit the year above a 5 million ton per annum run-rate on both sales and production. Overall mine costs in the third quarter of 2024 are expected to remain in the same range as compared to the second quarter of 2024, while exiting the year at or below the $100 per ton range.
Positive Outlook
- The high vol additions at our Elk Creek complex of the Ram 3 surface / highwall mine and the third section at the Stonecoal Alma mine should ultimately add roughly 600,000 annualized tons to overall 2024 Elk Creek production.
- At our Berwind complex, the addition of the third section at the main Berwind mine in the fourth quarter should ultimately add roughly 300,000 annualized tons of low vol production.
- Mine costs at all of these new mines are anticipated to be in roughly the $90-95 per ton range on average on a combined basis.
- We anticipate the prep plant at Maben will be fully operational in the fourth quarter of 2024 and significantly reduce current trucking costs by approximately $40 per ton at this complex.
- From primarily multi-year export index linked contracts negotiated this year, we have already placed roughly 1.25 million tons of our 2025 production. These would price at average netback pricing of over $150 per ton based against both fixed prices and today’s current forward curve indices.
Challenges Ahead
- Production and sales guidance is being reduced by 0.2 million tons at the midpoint of guidance to 3.8 – 4.2 million tons and 4.0 – 4.4 million tons, respectively.
- US low vol and US high vol A indices fell quarterly by roughly 15% on average in the second quarter and by roughly 25% since the start of the year.
- The global steel market is suffering from generally slower growth.
- The lack of demand, especially in traditional Chinese real estate and infrastructure sectors, has led to lower use of steel in Chinese domestic markets and correspondingly the highest level of Chinese steel exports we have seen in several years.
- Global metallurgical coal indices continued to fall last quarter, negatively impacting pricing and realizations and overall financial performance.