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Dec 25, 2022

Potbelly Q4 2022 Earnings Report

Reported strong Q4 2022 results with same-store-sales up and record AUVs.

Key Takeaways

Potbelly Corporation reported strong Q4 2022 results, with a 17% increase in total revenues to $120.2 million and same-store sales up 18.9%. The company achieved an operating income of $3.2 million and a GAAP net income of $2.7 million, driven by shop-level margin expansion. Adjusted EBITDA improved to $7.5 million, marking the third consecutive quarter of positive adjusted EBITDA.

Total revenues increased by 17% to $120.2 million.

Same-store sales increased by 18.9%, marking the seventh consecutive quarter of positive growth.

Operating income reached $3.2 million with shop-level margin expansion to 14.2%.

GAAP net income attributable to Potbelly Corporation was $2.7 million, a significant improvement from the previous year's net loss.

Total Revenue
$120M
Previous year: $103M
+16.9%
EPS
$0.09
Previous year: -$0.06
-250.0%
Gross Profit
$36.3M
Previous year: $27.1M
+33.7%
Cash and Equivalents
$15.6M
Previous year: $14.4M
+8.8%
Free Cash Flow
$7.95M
Previous year: $760K
+945.5%
Total Assets
$245M
Previous year: $253M
-3.2%

Potbelly

Potbelly

Potbelly Revenue by Segment

Forward Guidance

Potbelly provided its outlook for the first quarter and full year 2023, anticipating continued growth and momentum.

Positive Outlook

  • AUVs are projected to be between $23,000 and $24,000 for Q1 2023.
  • Expects record AUVs for fiscal year 2023
  • Same-store sales are expected to grow between 18.5% and 20.5% for Q1 2023.
  • High single-digit growth in same-store sales for fiscal year 2023.
  • Adjusted EBITDA is projected to be $4-5 million for Q1 2023.

Challenges Ahead

  • Shop-level margin is expected to be between 10.0% and 11.5% for Q1 2023.
  • Low teens shop-level margin for fiscal year 2023
  • No specific negative aspects were provided in the outlook summary.
  • No specific negative aspects were provided in the outlook summary.
  • No specific negative aspects were provided in the outlook summary.

Revenue & Expenses

Visualization of income flow from segment revenue to net income