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Dec 31, 2021

Selective Insurance Q4 2021 Earnings Report

Reported strong Q4 2021 results with net income of $1.59 per diluted common share and non-GAAP operating income of $1.56 per diluted common share.

Key Takeaways

Selective Insurance Group reported strong fourth quarter 2021 results, including a net income of $1.59 per diluted common share and non-GAAP operating income of $1.56 per diluted common share. The combined ratio was a profitable 93.1%, and net premiums written increased 9% from a year ago.

Net premiums written increased 9% compared to the fourth quarter of 2020.

GAAP combined ratio of 93.1%.

Overall renewal pure price increases averaged 4.7%.

After-tax net investment income of $65 million, up 16% compared to the fourth quarter of 2020.

Total Revenue
$745M
Previous year: $682M
+9.4%
EPS
$1.56
Previous year: $1.84
-15.2%
Total Combined Ratio
93.1%
Previous year: 88.1%
+5.7%
Commercial Lines Combined
93.1%
Previous year: 86.8%
+7.3%
Personal Lines Combined
97.6%
Previous year: 93.6%
+4.3%
Gross Profit
$870M
Previous year: $798M
+8.9%
Cash and Equivalents
$2.78B
Previous year: $9.69B
-71.3%
Free Cash Flow
$221M
Previous year: $169M
+30.9%
Total Assets
$10.5B
Previous year: $9.69B
+8.0%

Selective Insurance

Selective Insurance

Selective Insurance Revenue by Segment

Forward Guidance

Selective's full-year guidance for 2022 includes a GAAP combined ratio, excluding net catastrophe losses, of 91.0%, net catastrophe losses of 4.0 points on the combined ratio, after-tax net investment income of $200 million, an overall effective tax rate of approximately 20.5%, and weighted average shares of 61 million on a fully diluted basis.

Positive Outlook

  • GAAP combined ratio, excluding net catastrophe losses, of 91.0%.
  • Combined ratio estimate assumes no prior-year casualty reserve development.
  • Net catastrophe losses of 4.0 points on the combined ratio.
  • After-tax net investment income of $200 million that includes $20 million in after-tax net investment income from our alternative investments.
  • Overall effective tax rate of approximately 20.5% that assumes an effective tax rate of 19.5% for net investment income and 21.0% for all other items.

Revenue & Expenses

Visualization of income flow from segment revenue to net income